tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30592250690616305142024-03-14T20:32:47.827+02:00South American Frenzy<b>Betting picks from South American leagues and competitions!</b>
<p>Price list:</p>
<p>1-month subscription - 50 euros</p>
<p>3-months subscription - 127 euros</p>
<p>6-months subscription - 240 euros</p>
<p>For subscriptions, or more info, please contact: <b>theiguana2005@yahoo.com</b></p>IGUANAhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01498098805237662777noreply@blogger.comBlogger692125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3059225069061630514.post-32427675835831503602014-04-19T21:30:00.000+03:002014-04-20T12:32:40.525+03:00U Catolica - LDU Quito<span style="color: yellow;">Ecuador Serie A, Primera Etapa</span><br />
<br />
LDU Quito are still favorites, or at least on par, against pretty much everyone in the Ecuadorian league except the big guns. That's obviously a sign that the bookies are setting the odds based on the team's name, and they also expect them to get back into form sooner rather than later. But from what I've seen, that seems unlikely to happen anytime soon. LDU are playing without too many ideas, and even the players and the coach agree that there isn't too much you can ask from the team currently. Their famous offensive game is no more, as they are constantly struggling to create danger for the opposition. That's why we have a very rare statistic, with them having the second worst offense in the league. Their main focus is to destroy the plays, instead of trying to build some fluid actions. Worth mentioning: they only scored 1 goal in 6 away games!!! Catolica is one of the better teams in the league, and are also pleasant to the eye, constantly trying to get forward as soon and as efficiently as possible. They won't have it easy, that's for sure, as it is very difficult to play against a team bent on destroying good football, but they do have what it takes to win against LDU. They won the last 3 games against LDU, who only got worse as time went by, so they have a good platform to build on. GL!<br />
<br />
<span style="color: lime;"><b>Catolica DNB @ 1.97, 4/10</b></span><br />
<b><span style="color: lime;">Result: 3-1, WON </span></b>IGUANAhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01498098805237662777noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3059225069061630514.post-8135929145752565852014-04-11T03:15:00.000+03:002014-04-20T12:31:39.937+03:00Penarol - Deportivo Anzoategui<span style="color: magenta;">Copa Libertadores 2014, Group Stage</span><br />
<br />
Since both of these teams are out of the competition already, this game is pretty much just to complete the schedule. I doubt there is anything real at stake, despite the pre-match talk about leaving the competition with honor. And Penarol are certainly showing that they couldn't care less, as not a single regular player is expected to start tonight's game. Forward Mauro Fernandez can be considered the highest profile player to take on the Venezuelans, but the rest of the team gives me no hope of a positive result. Deportivo Anzoategui aren't much of a team either, and it is still uncertain if they will be using their best available squad or a mixed one. However, in this match without anything to play for, and against a team playing with a complete squad of reserves/youngsters, it's a bit of a stretch to give out such a big handicap. The Venezuelan team has a bad record away from home, that's true, but Penarol haven't exactly been shining either, and I don't see them winning big (maybe not winning at all). GL!<br />
<br />
<span style="color: lime;"><b>Anzoategui (+1.5 AH) @ 1.77, 5/10</b></span><br />
<b><span style="color: lime;">Result: 1-1, WON</span> </b>IGUANAhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01498098805237662777noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3059225069061630514.post-15752142407389746852014-03-26T05:30:00.000+02:002014-04-20T12:23:23.381+03:00Santos Laguna - Penarol<span style="color: magenta;">Copa Libertadores 2014, Group Stage</span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: lime;"><b>Santos (-1 AH) @ 1.87, 4/10</b></span><br />
<b><span style="color: lime;">Result: 4-1, WON </span></b>IGUANAhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01498098805237662777noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3059225069061630514.post-35959767538688463652014-03-24T01:30:00.000+02:002014-04-20T12:22:13.683+03:00Emelec - LDU Quito<span style="color: yellow;">Ecuador Serie A, Primera Etapa</span><br />
<br />
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<div class="MsoNormal">
Despite what the table is showing, with 7 places and 8
points separating them, this surely won’t be a walk in the park for Emelec.
Their packed schedule is bound to catch up with them sooner rather than later,
and there are already complaints about fatigue, after a tough match with Leon
and a very long voyage to and from Mexico. So I’m quite sure that there will be
some players who will be rested, because they won’t be able to give their 100%
anyway. LDU Quito are still in reconstruction, so it was expected that they
would struggle this season as well. However, they look quite solid
defensive-wise, and they’ve only conceded 2 goals in 4 visits. And there will
definitely be some extra-motivation for them in this derby, so I really don’t
see the hosts going for an easy win. Emelec only won 3 of their last 8 games
with LDU, and none of those victories was by more than a goal’s margin, and I
don’t see that changing here. I’m eyeing a draw here, but it’s nice to have
some insurance in case of a narrow Emelec win. GL!</div>
<br />
<span style="color: red;"><b>LDU (+0.75 AH) @ 2.01, 3/10</b></span><br />
<b><span style="color: red;">Result: 3-0, LOST</span> </b>IGUANAhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01498098805237662777noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3059225069061630514.post-80703888993819965262014-03-19T02:15:00.000+02:002014-04-20T12:21:16.792+03:00Nacional - Atletico Nacional<span style="color: magenta;">Copa Libertadores 2014, Group Stage</span><br />
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As you are probably well aware, last week I’ve had a very
solid bet, full of confidence, against Nacional Montevideo. And unfortunately,
that bet went to the crapper, after Atletico Nacional received a red card in
the first minute of the game. So it would be pointless talking about that game,
even though it is worth mentioning that despite having a man-down from the
start, the Colombians were still able to recover from a 0-2 deficit and tie the
game. Tonight, Nacional will still rest most of their regulars, as they only
have 1 point in the group, and are focusing on the local league. Furthermore,
from last week’s team, they will add 3 more youngsters, as 3 players are
forbidden by the law to play in Uruguay. And on top of all this, their form
couldn’t get much worse than this, as they’ve lost 4 of their last 6 games.</div>
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<br /></div>
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Atletico will use a similar squad to last week’s one, and
there should definitely be a revenge factor here, as the 2-2 in Colombia
against a team of youngsters certainly doesn’t sit well with them. They also
need to keep in touch with the leaders, Gremio, and their main rivals for
qualification, Newell’s Old Boys. All in all, I have pretty much the same
confidence as last week, and this time we also have a nice line. GL! </div>
<br />
<span style="color: lime;"><b>Atletico DNB @ 1.84, 5/10 </b></span><br />
<b><span style="color: lime;">Result: 0-1, WON</span> </b>IGUANAhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01498098805237662777noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3059225069061630514.post-33911834477219916982014-03-12T03:45:00.000+02:002014-04-20T12:20:16.316+03:00Atletico Nacional - Nacional Montevideo<span style="color: magenta;">Copa Libertadores 2014, Group Stage</span><br />
<br />
I have quite a lot of confidence in this bet, despite the rather big handicap line. Nacional has traveled to Colombia with a complete B-squad, as none of their regular players was included in the trip. They are fighting for the title of Clausura, and they are also in a neck-in-neck battle for the Aggregate table, so their focus is shifting towards the local league. Furthermore, they also had to go through a 13 hour-trip from Montevideo to Medellin, so a lot of fatigue is expected for them. Atletico Nacional is bound to treat this match seriously, as they still have enough changes to qualify to the next stage (3rd place with 3 points, but will play against Gremio at home). They are also in red hot form, being 8-0-2 in the league and 4-1 at home. Plus, they've also beaten Newell's Old Boys in Medellin, so they definitely mean business. The odds are bound to drop even further, but as I said, I have a lot of confidence here, and this bet is good to take up until 1.90. GL!<br />
<br />
<span style="color: red;"><b>Atletico (-1.5 AH) @ 2.13, 5/10</b></span><br />
<b><span style="color: red;">Result: 2-2, LOST </span></b>IGUANAhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01498098805237662777noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3059225069061630514.post-37382071713207151802014-02-26T00:00:00.000+02:002014-04-20T12:12:02.534+03:00Cruzeiro - U de Chile<span style="color: magenta;">Copa Libertadores 2014, Group Stage</span><br />
<br />
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Tried over-bets for a couple of times in this seasons’
Libertadores, but I failed every time. However, this time I’m even more
confident than before. Apparently, U de Chile came to Brazil to attack. They
can’t really rely on their defense anyway, since it’s been rather shaky and
allowed a lot of spaces and goals recently, with 8 goals conceded in the last 5
matches. And that was against some rather average opponents… they could really
be put under pressure by Cruzeiro’s top class forwards, as long as they don’t
get lazy. U de Chile will be using Gutierrez, Rubio and Lorenzetti in attack,
and they can really hurt any defense, provided they get enough balls. And with
them in the first team, it’s a pretty clear sign that they came here to play,
not to sit and wait in defense. Cruzeiro should get enough chances themselves,
so normally we should have quite a show in this match. GL!</div>
<br />
<span style="color: lime;"><b>over 2.5 goals @ 1.90, 5/10</b></span><br />
<b><span style="color: lime;">Result: 5-1, WON</span> </b>IGUANAhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01498098805237662777noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3059225069061630514.post-2867911891403601152014-02-12T06:00:00.000+02:002014-04-20T12:10:30.801+03:00Universitario - Velez Sarsfield<span style="color: magenta;">Copa Libertadores 2014, Group Stage</span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: red;"><b>over 2 goals @ 1.86, 4/10</b></span><br />
<b><span style="color: red;">Result: 0-1, LOST </span></b>IGUANAhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01498098805237662777noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3059225069061630514.post-70191782547658929822014-02-06T03:30:00.000+02:002014-04-20T12:09:30.718+03:00Botafogo - Deportivo Quito<span style="color: magenta;">Copa Libertadores 2014, Play-off</span><br />
<br />
Backed Botafogo in the first leg as well, and I'm definitely going to do it now too. As you probably know, Deportivo Quito was abandoned by many of their key players during the off season, due to their increasing financial problems, and the new players that joined the club are somewhat far from the previous standard, in my opinion. They did manage to win the first leg, it's true, but that was mainly due to their altitude advantage. I'm expecting a totally different game now, with Botafogo expected to take control early in the match. They have enough class within their ranks, with players like attacking midfielders Nicolas Lodeiro, Renato and Marcelo Mattos, defenders Bolivar and Andre Bahia, and forward Wallyson. Deportivo Quito also have a poor away record in continental competitions, practically only managing a win outside of Ecuador once every decade, and since the club's current state is rather low, I'm going for a solid Brazilian win here. GL!<br />
<br />
<span style="color: lime;"><b>Botafogo (-1.5 AH) @ 2.01, 5/10</b></span><br />
<b><span style="color: lime;">Result: 4-0, WON </span></b>IGUANAhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01498098805237662777noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3059225069061630514.post-27967166882207102452014-02-02T23:30:00.000+02:002014-04-20T12:07:39.476+03:00LDU Loja - Barcelona<span style="color: yellow;">Ecuador Serie A, Primera Etapa</span><br />
<br />
I fancy Barcelona quite a lot this season, and even though the start has been rather difficult, I'm counting on a constant increase in form. They've made some good signings during the off-season, so I'm really expecting them to challenge Emelec for the title (they are pretty much the only ones that can do it), and we should only mention the signings of Laurito and Nieto (the top scorers of the 2013 season - they have more than 50 goals between themselves) to know that they mean business. And today will be the first match when they both start as regulars, so I'm obviously confident and excited that there will be some goals. However, the back looked shaky throughout their first two matches, and Loja is a team that can really hurt you if they find the spaces. Both their matches this season ended with several goals, and I'm counting on the talented Fabio Renato to pull something off here (Ivan Kaviedes can also play, after serving a suspension, but he isn't announced as a starter). Loja always played offensively, so I'm definitely expecting some goals here, especially since last year, these two teams had three over 2.5 games from four matches played. GL!<br />
<br />
<span style="color: red;"><b>over 2.25 goals @ 1.96, 4/10</b></span><br />
<b><span style="color: red;">Result: 1-1, HALF-LOST </span></b>IGUANAhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01498098805237662777noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3059225069061630514.post-68470181871201651292014-01-30T05:30:00.000+02:002014-04-12T13:10:55.625+03:00Mexico - South Korea<span style="color: magenta;">International Friendly</span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: lime;"><b>Mexico (-0.5 AH) @ 2.02, 3/10</b></span><br />
<b><span style="color: lime;">Result: 4-0, WON</span> </b>IGUANAhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01498098805237662777noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3059225069061630514.post-73679792825658081032014-01-30T03:30:00.000+02:002014-04-12T13:07:16.101+03:00Deportivo Quito - Botafogo<span style="color: magenta;">Copa Libertadores 2014, Play-off</span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: red;"><b>Botafogo (+0.25 AH) @ 1.99, 4/10</b></span><br />
<b><span style="color: red;">Result: 1-0, LOST</span> </b>IGUANAhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01498098805237662777noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3059225069061630514.post-57861889554795413082014-01-29T02:30:00.000+02:002014-04-12T13:04:55.603+03:00Oriente Petrolero - Nacional<span style="color: magenta;">Copa Libertadores 2014, Play-off</span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: red;"><b>over 2.25 goals @ 2.00, 4/10</b></span><br />
<b><span style="color: red;">Result: 1-0, LOST</span> </b>IGUANAhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01498098805237662777noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3059225069061630514.post-44706097790278241432014-01-27T18:46:00.002+02:002014-01-27T18:46:23.979+02:00Olmedo - Barcelona SC<span style="color: yellow;">Ecuador Serie A, Primera Etapa</span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: red;"><b>Barcelona (-0.25 AH) @ 1.96, 3/10</b></span><br />
<span style="color: red;"><b>Result: 2-1, LOST</b></span>IGUANAhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01498098805237662777noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3059225069061630514.post-51119217592688669502014-01-25T20:30:00.000+02:002014-01-27T18:46:45.949+02:00Manta - LDU Quito<span style="color: yellow;">Ecuador Serie A, Primera Etapa</span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: lime;"><b>Manta DNB @ 1.93, 3/10</b></span><br />
<b><span style="color: lime;">Result: 1-0, WON</span> </b>IGUANAhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01498098805237662777noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3059225069061630514.post-33864401523295996402013-12-18T23:00:00.000+02:002014-01-25T12:45:42.990+02:00Raja Casablanca - Atletico MG<span style="color: magenta;">FIFA Club World Cup 2013, Semi-final</span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: red;"><b>Atletico MG (-1.25 AH) @ 1.92, 4/10</b></span><br />
<b><span style="color: red;">Result: 3-1, LOST</span> </b>IGUANAhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01498098805237662777noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3059225069061630514.post-55456328607373078632013-12-18T21:30:00.000+02:002014-01-25T12:40:18.845+02:00Real Garcilaso - Universitario<span style="color: red;">Peru Primera Division, Final</span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: yellow;"><b>Universitario DNB @ 2.15, 3/10</b></span><br />
<b><span style="color: yellow;">Result: 0-0, VOID </span></b>IGUANAhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01498098805237662777noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3059225069061630514.post-68028290592497954492013-12-18T20:00:00.000+02:002014-01-25T12:39:22.301+02:00Al Ahly - Monterrey<span style="color: magenta;">FIFA Club World Cup, 2013</span><br />
<br />
<span style="color: lime;"><b>over 2.5 goals @ 1.85, 4/10</b></span><br />
<b><span style="color: lime;">Result: 1-5, WON</span> </b>IGUANAhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01498098805237662777noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3059225069061630514.post-1550402873203001002013-12-15T00:00:00.000+02:002014-01-25T12:37:25.131+02:00Universitario - Real Garcilaso<span style="color: red;">Peru Primera Division, Final</span><br />
<br />
Last game of the season in Peru, and the most important one, as it will decide who will take home the champion's crown. Real Garcilaso won the first match 3-2, that's why everybody expects Universitario to be fired up, and as a result the odds dropped quite a bit. But even so, it should be worth to take this bet, as Universitario are sure-fire favorites here for me. They did lose the first match, it's true, but they didn't play bad at all, and almost neutralized Garcilaso's huge altitude advantage (the match was played on a neutral ground, because there was a higher altitude there than in Cuzco). Looking at the expected line-up, Universitario looks to be playing quite offensively, with Ruidiaz up-front, who will be supported by Torres, Gonzalez and Fernandez. Garcilaso has been disappointing away from home in the last few months, winning just at Huancayo (at altitude) and losing 4 games. Slim chances for them, so I'm definitely backing the hosts here. GL!<br />
<br />
<span style="color: lime;"><b>Universitario (-0.75 AH) @ 1.75, 4/10</b></span><br />
<b><span style="color: lime;">Result: 3-0, WON </span></b>IGUANAhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01498098805237662777noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3059225069061630514.post-79493504679531846712013-11-25T01:15:00.000+02:002014-01-25T12:11:37.257+02:00Barcelona - LDU Quito<span style="color: yellow;">Ecuador Serie A, Segunda Etapa</span><br />
<br />
The odds are set totally wrong for this match, if you ask me, as I see a rather equal affair. Both teams are hoping of qualifying for a continental cup (tied on points in the general classification, with Barcelona on a qualification spot, due to better goal difference), both had a pretty horrendous second half of the season, and both are somehow recovering their form. Even in the Segunda Etapa's standings, they are fairly evenly matched, with Barcelona holding just a 3 points advantage over LDU. Now, let's check out their results and their form: despite having one of their poorest seasons in recent years, LDU have only lost 4 out of 18 matches, as they excelled in draws: 10. That being said, they drew 6 of their last 10 games, and only lost once. And from those draws, 2 were against Emelec and 2 were against Deportivo Quito, both of them being more solid teams than Barcelona, which shows us that LDU are no pushovers, and can really focus when it comes to big games. And besides all of this, Barcelona and LDU also have a long history of equal matches, since out of their last 15 games, they recorded 9 draws. Hopefully, the trend will continue, and considering all the facts, I'll say it again: Barcelona are by no means such big favorites as the bookies try to make them. GL!<br />
<br />
<span style="color: red;"><b>LDU (+0.5 AH) @ 2.05, 4/10</b></span><br />
<b><span style="color: red;">Result: 1-0, LOST </span></b>IGUANAhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01498098805237662777noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3059225069061630514.post-4007808879470648872013-11-14T15:03:00.001+02:002013-11-14T15:42:26.959+02:00Jordan - Uruguay<span style="color: magenta;">World Cup 2014, Play-off</span><br />
<br />
Not enough time for a proper analysis, but the difference in quality is
obviously too high in Uruguay's favor. It's not an easy task playing in
Asian countries, but when you have the number of stars that Uruguay has
(Godin, Caceres, Rodriguez, Alvaro Pereira, Forlan, Suarez and Cavani),
things will be much easier. Nothing special about Jordan, and a 2-0 win
for the South Americans is the minimum that I can see. GL!<br />
<br />
<span style="color: lime;"><b>Uruguay (-1.5 AH) @ 1.79, 4/10</b></span><br />
<span style="color: lime;"><b>Result: 0-5, WON</b></span>IGUANAhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01498098805237662777noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3059225069061630514.post-58975384026832383142013-11-10T22:00:00.001+02:002013-11-14T15:00:03.931+02:00Macara - Independiente<span style="color: red;">Ecuador Serie A, Segunda Etapa</span><br />
<br />
Independiente have it all to play for: With a win today, they could catch-up to Emelec at the top of the table, or at least they can keep putting pressure on them. After that, they also have to secure their participation in the two cups, Libertadores and Sudamericana, and they can clinch both of them by finishing the year on 2nd place in the aggregate table (in case a final won't be played - if Emelec wins the Segunda Etapa). They currently have 5 points over the 3rd place, with 5 games remaining, so there's no place for a wrong step. On the other side, we have a Macara side that are all but mathematically relegated. They are 14 points behind the safe zone, so we can say that it's impossible for them to get something. Even more, the coach left for Argentina, taking a couple of players with him, while a few other players have been removed from the team, trying to reconstruct it's squad. That's why today we'll only see around 3-4 of their main regular players. They will probably try to prove themselves, but morale is low, and they'll face a very solid team that is gunning for the title. Also, Independiente have 3/3 against Manta this season, with a goal difference of 11-1. The odds aren't great at all, but the away win should be a lock. GL!<br />
<br />
<span style="color: red;"><b>Independiente (-0.75 AH) @ 1.80, 4/10</b></span><br />
<b><span style="color: red;">Result: 2-0, LOST</span> </b>IGUANAhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01498098805237662777noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3059225069061630514.post-48137073517056945112013-11-10T22:00:00.000+02:002013-11-14T14:59:30.290+02:00Deportivo Cuenca - Manta<span style="color: yellow;">Ecuador Serie A, Segunda Etapa</span><br />
<br />
Deportivo Cuenca are in all kinds of problems, as they have a list of 6 players unavailable for this match (4 of them suspended and 2 not taken into account). But from those 6, we only need to mention 4, who are all key players. Their main absences are: defenders Andres Lopez (16/2) and Edder Fuertes (15/0), midfielder Gregory Gonzalez (15/0) and forward Estupinan (9/3). So they should be taking quite a hit for this match, and I'm sure they will struggle at least a bit, in front of an opponent that is never like a walk in the park. It is true, both teams have been in poor form recently (Cuenca has 7 games without a win, while Manta have 5 - but 4 of them have been defeats), and Manta are very poor away from home, but under these conditions, I do favor them to take at least one point. None of them have been showing anything solid, so it should be considered an equal game at least, therefore the current line has value (I would have set the lines to 0.25). Besides, Manta should also have a morale advantage here, as they haven't lost this year to Cuenca, and have won 2 out of 3 direct matches. GL!<br />
<br />
<span style="color: lime;"><b>Manta (+0.5 AH) @ 1.91, 4/10</b></span><br />
<b><span style="color: lime;">Result: 1-1, WON</span></b>IGUANAhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01498098805237662777noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3059225069061630514.post-70843062061422814202013-11-10T21:45:00.000+02:002013-11-14T14:58:26.176+02:00Cienciano - Juan Aurich<span style="color: red;">Peru Primera Division, Liguilla B</span><br />
<br />
Another match where I don't really agree with the odds. Cienciano has the altitude advantage, but that's it. Quality and form are definitely on Aurich's side, who - before last round - had a run of 8 consecutive games without a loss. And it could have went on for a while longer, but they had to face leaders and finalists Universitario, so they can't be criticized too much. Meanwhile, Cienciano is dropping points all over the place, including at home, and away at teams as poor as Jose Galvez. So it's rather strange for me to set Cienciano up as favorites solely due to the altitude, because the first question that comes into mind is: since when haven't they beaten Aurich? And the answer is: from 2011. That means that in the last 6 mutual matches, Aurich won 5 and drew the other one. And one win and the draw were taken in Cusco, under similar conditions. And right now Aurich is gunning for Copa Sudamericana (4 points behind the last qualifying spot), so for sure they'll focus and play their best game. GL!<br />
<br />
<span style="color: red;"><b>Juan Aurich (+0.25 AH) @ 2.16, 3/10</b></span><br />
<b><span style="color: red;">Result: 2-1, LOST</span> </b>IGUANAhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01498098805237662777noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3059225069061630514.post-18283354914119007772013-11-10T19:45:00.000+02:002013-11-14T14:57:48.854+02:00Sporting Cristal - Real Garcilaso<span style="color: red;">Peru Primera Division, Liguilla A</span><br />
<br />
In Peru, there are just 4 rounds left, so this match has an extra-importance for everybody. Garcilaso are 2 points ahead of Cristal at the top of the table, so a home win here will see a change of leader, while it will also open the door for Alianza Lima to get in the title fight. Garcilaso had a very solid and consistent first half of the season, capitalizing on last year's success and form, but recently, ever since the Liguilla has started, their performances have dropped quite a lot, winning just 2 games, dropping points at home and conceding a couple of goals every match (something very unusual for them, judging by their play in the last 2 years). That's why the odds are rather rightfully set here, as Cristal has the better team and also is more in form. Cristal probably have one of the best squads in Peru, and I would name them favorites to win Liguilla A. Also, in these matches, the points usually remain at home, but we've seen in last year's final that, when it mattered the most, Cristal was able to win away as well. GL!<br />
<br />
<span style="color: lime;"><b>Cristal (-0.75 AH) @ 1.97, 3/10</b></span><br />
<b><span style="color: lime;">Result: 5-2, WON</span> </b>IGUANAhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01498098805237662777noreply@blogger.com0