Showing posts with label Chile Primera Division. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Chile Primera Division. Show all posts

Nov 28, 2010

Cobresal - Deportes La Serena

Chile Primera Division

Same story with this match. Cobresal is one of the hopefuls of reaching a spot for the Copa Libertadores liguilla, while La Serena needs points today, otherwise they could be entangled in the fight to avoid relegation in the last rounds, and no one at the club wants to have such an unncesary pressure on them. So they'll go for the win, of course, but they have quite a few absences, and their defense is likely to be a Swiss Cheese. 5 are the defensive absences that they will have, and will practically have to change their entire defensive line (Tapia, Rojas, Pardo, Guidi and Delgado), as well as an important figure from the midfield line, Patricio Rubina. Therefore, they will most probably field a new and shaky defense, either with non-regulars, either with repositioned players. Either way, they are very likely to suffer from every Cobresal attack. Cobresal will also be missing a couple of players, due to suspensions, and they will also have to suffer in the defensive area, as they will be missing defender Eduardo Farias and midfielder Cabion. So, with so many absences in the defenses of both teams, and with both of them needing the points, I am again going for goals. GL!

over 2.75 goals @ 1.93, 3/10
Result: 0-2, LOST

Santiago Morning - Huachipato

Chile Primera Division

These two teams aren't traditional goal scoring teams, but now, with only 2 rounds left in the league, they both need to win, as only 3 points today will keep their hopes alive. The guests, Huachipato, are hopeful of a late snatch of a place that allows them to play the Liguilla that sends a team to Copa Libertadores, and a win today will practically seal their spot in the Liguilla. Because of that, and also due to a couple of suspensions (midfielders Jose Perez and Garcia), the coach will change his formation to a 4-3-3, an offensive plan, trying to press early, and clinch the important victory. Santiago Morning, however, will also try to make their game. For them, 3 points today are even more vital than for Huachipato, as they will be 100% safe from relegating directly, and will also have a very good chance to avoid the play-offs. Hopeful that this will be their last home game (meaning they won't be playing any play-offs), Morning's players think only of the win, and will also field an offensive team, with 2 strikers, backed-up by 3 offensive midfielders. With both teams in need of points, and both planning to attack from the start, I'll give them credit, and go for a goals bet here. GL!

over 2.5 goals @ 1.82, 4/10
Result: 0-3, WON

Oct 25, 2010

Nublense - Universidad Catolica

Chile Primera Division

Nublense, already troubled with relegation - as they are on a relegation play-off position, 3 points behind the safe spot - will have even more worries tonight, as they are missing a host of first team players. They will have to cope without the presence of injured goalkeeper Viera, defender Ruiz and midfielder Oroz, while two other important players are suspended: captain and midfielder Reyes and defender Julio Barroso. Very important absences for a lowly team like Nublense, as they lack depth in quality, and without some of their most important men, they will have to work a lot in order to replace them. They are in very poor form, with only two victories in the last 10 games, and today they will have to face a wounded U. Catolica, which comes after a dramatic derby with Colo Colo. The title is far away from them, as Los Albos are 10 points clear, but the dreams are still there. Anyway, a second place and a ticket for Copa Libertadores 2011 should be a more realistic objective for Catolica. No important absences for them, as quality wise they are obviously much better than Nublense, who shouldn't put much of a fight with their numerous absences. GL!

Universidad Catolica (-0.75 AH) @ 1.84, 3/10
Result: 1-4, WON

Oct 17, 2010

Cobreloa - Everton

Chile Primera Division

Both Cobreloa and Everton are in desperate need of points, and both are fighting for the same objective. Everton is in the relegation play-off zone, and even though a win here won't immediately help them, as they can't go higher than 15th place, it could help them in the long run. Meanwhile, Cobreloa are directly above the play-off zone, but only 2 points clear off Nublense, so a victory for them too is a must. Both teams are having some defensive issues, allowing goals quite easily, but recently, both have improved their attack, Everton managing to score 3 against La Serena last week, while Cobreloa scored 5 in their last 2 matches. Regarding team news, Everton is far from the ideal line-up, and they will be missing some key pieces of their team, most notably in defense, where Rencoret and Arias are injured and Saavedra is suspended, while in midfield, Ramirez is injured and Penailillo is with the u-20 national team. So they will have to patch up their defense and hope for the best, against a Cobreloa side that vows to attack from the beginning. Usually, the games between them are pretty nice, score-wise, and I can definitely see at least 3 goals here. The odds are very nice, and are surely worth some units. GL!

over 2.75 @ 2.10, 3/10
Result: 4-0, WON

Oct 16, 2010

Santiago Wanderers - Union San Felipe

Chile Primera Division

After the fabulous match that counted for Copa Sudamericana, against LDU Quito, San Felipe won 4-2, and have taken a serious step towards a historical qualification. However, they are only halfway through, as it is known the strength that LDU has when playing in Casablanca, and they could easily overturn the 2 goals deficit. That is why San Felipe's coach is putting his entire focus on the Sudamericana second leg, at the expense of the Chilean league, and they will use a line-up consisting fully of reserves, in order to give the regulars a proper rest. That means that big names and regular players will miss the game. Therefore, Santiago Wanderers will have a golden opportunity to take the 3 points that could see them go 3 points clear of the relegation places, so a win today for them is absolutely vital. They should also end their poor run, as they have only won once in the last 9 league matches. The Wanderers will have no important absences, and they have already said they will treat each of the remaining games as a final, so I don't doubt their motivation, and against an alternative San Felipe team, they should take their chances. GL!

Santiago Wanderers @ 1.97, 5/10
Result: 2-1, WON