Once Caldas - Deportivo Pereira

Colombia, Liga Postobon

I just said to myself that I will stop taking any handicap bigger than -1, but this time I'll make an exception, as this match looks just too good to skip (and I hope it will be the only exception). Once Caldas and Deportivo Pereira look like 2 teams from totally different dimensions. Once is last year's champion, and are playing great this season also. They might feel frustrated for losing the 3 points on Tuesday against San Luis from Mexico (the Mexicans equalized in the 94th minute, after a very confusing play), but they will most probably put everything behind them, and focus on this Clasico. And the coach will throw the best he's got in this match, not resting anyone, despite a trip to Paraguay planned next week, and in attack we will see again the magic-trio: Dayro Moreno, Wason Renteria and Carbonero, strikers that are very feared by all the teams in Colombia. Meanwhile, Deportivo Pereira is in the worst form of it's history, as an entire year has passed since they last won a match, facing a run of 32-matches without a single victory. Last game, they lost 0-4 away at Cucuta, and today they will face the commanding leaders, so I doubt they will stand any chances of ending their run. Odds on this handicap have been raising steadily, and that is why I finally decided to take it, as now there actually is some value on the odds. GL!

Once Caldas (-1.5 AH) @ 2.22, 3/10

Result: 2-0, WON

Millonarios - Once Caldas

Colombia Primera A, Apertura

I see some nice value on this match. Once Caldas are the reigning champions of the Colombian Primera Division, while Millonarios are just an average team, whose usual objective is to finish in the mid-side of the standings. This season, their objectives are not different, as they are aiming for the same things as usual. Odds started raising on the champions because of their Libertadores commitment, where they played on Wednesday at home against Universidad San Martin (and were trashed 0-3), and where they will play again next week, also at home, against Libertad from Paraguay. But, they will probably not rest anyone tonight, as all the players that played during the mid-week are in the squad for this clash, and I can't see more than 2-3 changes, as they want a win here, in order to clear their image after the disastrous start of the Copa Libertadores. And as we have seen in their recent matches against Millonarios, they don't even have to be at their best to win. Millonarios have never beat them when playing at home, and in the last 9 years, they have only won twice in 18 matches. So to have Once Caldas set as underdog, against a team that usually poses little resistance against them, should be a nice opportunity. GL!

Once Caldas DNB @ 2.15, 4/10

Result: 0-2, WON