Cucuta Deportivo - Once Caldas

Colombia Liga Postobon, Play-off

Odds dropped massively on home win, so there's surely no more value here. And even with some higher odds, this could have been tricky... both teams are playing for nothing, but morale should be clearly better in the Once Caldas camp, as they will play the national final, while Cucuta practically ended their season already, without anything major happening for them. And besides that, Once Caldas has the best squad in the league, so it won't be so easy to beat them, even if they are playing with their secondary players (because they are, as they have to play the finals next week). What I do expect in this game, are goals. As I said, Once's players that will start today's game are still at least decent players, and they can surely score here. Meanwhile, Cucuta will probably use their strongest line-up, in order to finish the season on a high note, and give the fans a last win on their stadium, against the probable champions. Without any pressure on either team, they will probably just focus on playing nice, and giving the fans something to cheer about, and the same should apply for Once Caldas. We should see some goals here, but small stakes, as you can't really trust Colombians. GL!

over 2.5 goals @ 1.82, 3/10

Result: 2-1, WON

Cerro Porteno - Sport Colombia

Paraguay Primera Division, Clausura

After an unexpected elimination from Copa Sudamericana, where earlier this week they couldn't win at home against Bolivian side Universitario Sucre, Cerro now has the opportunity to wash away their shame, and take a big and decisive step towards winning the Clausura. That is because their main (and by the looks of it, their only) rival, Libertad, surprisingly lost last night at lowly 3 de Febrero, so now, Cerro has the opportunity to get 3 points clear, halfway through the tournament. They will most likely repeat the line-up that acted in Sudamericana, meaning that all their key pieces will play: Villareal, Nunez, dos Santos, Nanni and Zeballos, and after a poor match mid-week, I'm expecting them to make amends.

Sport Colombia might have gathered a few points when playing away from home, but don't be fooled by that, as it all happened against some of the worst teams in the league (won against 3 de Febrero and Sol de America, and they drew with Luqueno), and when they play against the big guns, they are sure victims. Another interesting thing is that they are usually sparring partners for Cerro, losing by quite a big goal difference when playing at El Ciclon. And with Cerro still undefeated in the tournament, I'm counting on them to continue their good form, and put in a performance that will make people forget about the Sudamericana elimination. GL!

Cerro Porteno (-1 AH) @ 1.92, 3/10

Result: 0-0, LOST