World Cup 2014 Qualifiers, CONMEBOL
This will pretty much be a decisive match for Peru, as they are playing their last chance of qualifying to the World Cup. With a win here, they will amount a total of 14 points, that could leave them just 1 point behind the play-off spot (provided either Chile or Venezuela don't win today). Besides, Peru has one game in hand, so they can get knee-deep in the qualification fight. Peru are a very organized team under coach Markarian, and can be quite a tough nut to crack, as they've only lost once in their last 10 games, 0-1 at Paraguay. 3-1-1 is their record in Lima in these qualifiers, a run which includes a win against Chile and a draw with Argentina. Once again, the focus of attention will be on the 'Fantastic 4', as Farfan, Pizzaro, Guerrero and Vargas are expected to start and to command Peru's offensive. Ecuador is sitting quite comfortably on 2nd place, 5 points ahead of the last qualifying place, and also with a game in hand. So it's really quite hard to see them failing to qualify after such an incredible campaign. However, almost all of their points came at home, as they have a 0-2-2 record away from home. Tonight they will also have to cope with the absence of in-form striker Felipe Caicedo, which could prove a big blow to them. All in all, Peru is the team that has a lot at stake here, they have some classy players in offense, and they could take advantage of Ecuador's struggle's outside their country. GL!
Peru (-0.25 AH) @ 2.03, 4/10
Result: 1-0, WON
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Jun 8, 2013
Jun 5, 2013
Jamaica - Mexico
World Cup 2014, CONCACAF Qualifiers
Mexico went off to a very rough start in these qualifications, something that is very rare to see, as they are without a doubt the best team in their geographical area. But right now they are in a bit of a jam, as they only have 3 points from their first 3 matches, drawing with all their opponents so far (USA, Jamaica and Honduras). So there's no space for more mistakes, as they could find themselves well behind the rest of the challengers, and even though the 4th place leads to a play-off, I'm sure they'll want a direct qualification. Full squad is expected for them, with the best available players, as coach de la Torre won't be taking any chances. Ochoa, Rodriguez, Moreno, Torrado, Guardado and Chicharito Hernandez are some of the high-profile players that have been called-up, and will most likely start from the first minute. Against them, we'll have Jamaica, a team without any big players, results or tradition. They got to this stage from a group with USA, Guatemala and Antigua & Barbuda... easy group to qualify from, but their best feat was being able to defeat USA at home. However, now it should be a different story, as Mexico needs the points, and they have the quality to take all of them. The odds are very good, considering how normally we wouldn't get anything above 1.50, so this bet is definitely worth a go. GL!
Mexico (-0.5 AH) @ 1.94, 5/10
Result: 0-1, WON
Mexico went off to a very rough start in these qualifications, something that is very rare to see, as they are without a doubt the best team in their geographical area. But right now they are in a bit of a jam, as they only have 3 points from their first 3 matches, drawing with all their opponents so far (USA, Jamaica and Honduras). So there's no space for more mistakes, as they could find themselves well behind the rest of the challengers, and even though the 4th place leads to a play-off, I'm sure they'll want a direct qualification. Full squad is expected for them, with the best available players, as coach de la Torre won't be taking any chances. Ochoa, Rodriguez, Moreno, Torrado, Guardado and Chicharito Hernandez are some of the high-profile players that have been called-up, and will most likely start from the first minute. Against them, we'll have Jamaica, a team without any big players, results or tradition. They got to this stage from a group with USA, Guatemala and Antigua & Barbuda... easy group to qualify from, but their best feat was being able to defeat USA at home. However, now it should be a different story, as Mexico needs the points, and they have the quality to take all of them. The odds are very good, considering how normally we wouldn't get anything above 1.50, so this bet is definitely worth a go. GL!
Mexico (-0.5 AH) @ 1.94, 5/10
Result: 0-1, WON
Jun 4, 2013
Romania - Trinidad & Tobago
International Friendly Match
Interesting match in Bucharest, as we see two different and unusual teams in this friendly set-up. Romania lost it's glory days for quite a while, and are now usually struggling even against more modest opposition. However, I just can't see beyond an easy win for them in this game, as Trinidad & Tobago are just not on the same level. For the hosts, we'll see a few new players, as coach Piturca is keen on testing out new players ahead of the official matches. But the new ones have had a fairly good season in their league, and besides them, we'll also see some of the veterans (Rat, Goian, Torje, Marica and Stancu). No word yet on the starting line-up, but we'll probably see a mixed squad of veterans and inexperienced players, and there should be a lot of changes throughout the game. But in all honesty, whatever players will walk on the pitch, it should be more than enough to see off T&T. The Carribean team is also traveling without some of their most capped players, and only 7 of their squad are performing in Europe (most of them are playing in Finland or in the English lower divisions), while the core of the team plays in the local league. And if we look at their matches from the last 6 months, I just can't see how a team that loses to Antigua & Barbuda and draws with Martinique, can stand in front of a much better team. GL!
Romania (-1.5 AH) @ 1.96, 4/10
Result: 4-0, WON
Interesting match in Bucharest, as we see two different and unusual teams in this friendly set-up. Romania lost it's glory days for quite a while, and are now usually struggling even against more modest opposition. However, I just can't see beyond an easy win for them in this game, as Trinidad & Tobago are just not on the same level. For the hosts, we'll see a few new players, as coach Piturca is keen on testing out new players ahead of the official matches. But the new ones have had a fairly good season in their league, and besides them, we'll also see some of the veterans (Rat, Goian, Torje, Marica and Stancu). No word yet on the starting line-up, but we'll probably see a mixed squad of veterans and inexperienced players, and there should be a lot of changes throughout the game. But in all honesty, whatever players will walk on the pitch, it should be more than enough to see off T&T. The Carribean team is also traveling without some of their most capped players, and only 7 of their squad are performing in Europe (most of them are playing in Finland or in the English lower divisions), while the core of the team plays in the local league. And if we look at their matches from the last 6 months, I just can't see how a team that loses to Antigua & Barbuda and draws with Martinique, can stand in front of a much better team. GL!
Romania (-1.5 AH) @ 1.96, 4/10
Result: 4-0, WON
May 26, 2013
Juventud - Penarol
Uruguay Primera Division, Clausura
Another bet from Uruguay, as we have another match that promises a lot. Both teams are still in the fight for glory, even though it's a different kind of glory. Penarol are knee-deep in the title race, 3 points behind Clausura league-leaders Defensor, and one point above them in the Annual table (everything is important here: Penarol won Apertura so if they will also win Clausua they will be automatically crowned champions. If they lose Clausura, they will play in the semi-final with Defensor... if they win the annual table and the semi-final, they will be crowned champions). And for this game, they are putting everything on the line, as they have practiced with a very offensive line-up: two forwards (Zalayeta and Pacheco) and two quick wingers (Estoyanoff and Nunez), plus a move in the defensive line, where offensive minded Aguirregaray will play as a right wing-back. A more offensive formation than usual, as they will be going all out for the title. Juventud, on the other hand, are going for their qualification to Copa Sudamericana, which will be an incredible feat for them. They are tied on points with Wanderers and Fenix for the 6th place, the last that provides continental qualification. And besides this, which should provide extra motivation, they also have a solid home record, with 4-1-2, and just a couple of weeks ago they managed to beat Nacional by 2-0. They certainly won't roll over, and they should try and exploit the spaces that Penarol will leave behind. So I'm confident that we will see several goals here. GL!
over 2.5 goals @ 1.94, 3/10
Result: 1-5, WON
Another bet from Uruguay, as we have another match that promises a lot. Both teams are still in the fight for glory, even though it's a different kind of glory. Penarol are knee-deep in the title race, 3 points behind Clausura league-leaders Defensor, and one point above them in the Annual table (everything is important here: Penarol won Apertura so if they will also win Clausua they will be automatically crowned champions. If they lose Clausura, they will play in the semi-final with Defensor... if they win the annual table and the semi-final, they will be crowned champions). And for this game, they are putting everything on the line, as they have practiced with a very offensive line-up: two forwards (Zalayeta and Pacheco) and two quick wingers (Estoyanoff and Nunez), plus a move in the defensive line, where offensive minded Aguirregaray will play as a right wing-back. A more offensive formation than usual, as they will be going all out for the title. Juventud, on the other hand, are going for their qualification to Copa Sudamericana, which will be an incredible feat for them. They are tied on points with Wanderers and Fenix for the 6th place, the last that provides continental qualification. And besides this, which should provide extra motivation, they also have a solid home record, with 4-1-2, and just a couple of weeks ago they managed to beat Nacional by 2-0. They certainly won't roll over, and they should try and exploit the spaces that Penarol will leave behind. So I'm confident that we will see several goals here. GL!
over 2.5 goals @ 1.94, 3/10
Result: 1-5, WON
Sporting Cristal - Sport Huancayo
Peru Primera Divsion, Descentralizado
This should be a match that promises a lot, as we will see in action two of the most offensive teams in the league. League leaders Sporting Cristal seem to be in a league of their own, as they have the best attack so far, with 10 goals scored more than any other team. And they are the strongest when they play at home, where they scored 23 goals. They are still undefeated at home, and they also have a positive record when it comes to under/over, with 8 of their last 10 games ending with at least 3 goals. On the other side of the field, we will have a surprising Sport Huancayo, who have been performing above expectations and find themselves on 4th place, with 9 points snatched in away games (a very good record for a traditional 'home' team). And I'm confident that we should be seeing some goals here, as Huancayo have the second best offense in the league, with 24 goals scored, but also one of the fragile defenses, with 23 conceded (only 3 teams have a worse record). Huancayo have failed to score in only 2 games so far. Cristal will be at full strength, without any absences of injuries, and they will also repeat the line-up that trashed San Martin last week by 3-0. Goals should be plenty. GL!
over 2.75 goals @ 1.87, 3/10
Result: 2-2, WON
This should be a match that promises a lot, as we will see in action two of the most offensive teams in the league. League leaders Sporting Cristal seem to be in a league of their own, as they have the best attack so far, with 10 goals scored more than any other team. And they are the strongest when they play at home, where they scored 23 goals. They are still undefeated at home, and they also have a positive record when it comes to under/over, with 8 of their last 10 games ending with at least 3 goals. On the other side of the field, we will have a surprising Sport Huancayo, who have been performing above expectations and find themselves on 4th place, with 9 points snatched in away games (a very good record for a traditional 'home' team). And I'm confident that we should be seeing some goals here, as Huancayo have the second best offense in the league, with 24 goals scored, but also one of the fragile defenses, with 23 conceded (only 3 teams have a worse record). Huancayo have failed to score in only 2 games so far. Cristal will be at full strength, without any absences of injuries, and they will also repeat the line-up that trashed San Martin last week by 3-0. Goals should be plenty. GL!
over 2.75 goals @ 1.87, 3/10
Result: 2-2, WON
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