Paraguay Primera Division, Clausura
I'm taking a slight risk here, as Cerro Porteno can comfortably take it easy until the rest of the season. Having a 9-points advantage over the second pace pretty much assures them of the title, despite having to play 7 more games. But Diaz's recent form just makes me take this bet. They enjoyed an incredible run this season, but they could have never been considered one of the big teams. Discipline and will were their main advantages, and they exceed their limit by far. But recently, they went back to their original condition, as they have lost their last 3 games. The opposition wasn't from the bottom half, that's true, as they were beaten by Capiata and Guarani (both at home, Guarani actually trashing them 1-4) and away at Nacional. Clear quality difference, and that difference can only grow bigger against the leaders. As I've said, Cerro doesn't necessarily needs to win, but it will be one more step toward the title, and with Diaz in the rebound stage, it's safe to assume that the home win is a lock. GL!
Cerro (-1 AH) @ 1.92, 3/10
Result: 2-1, VOID
Betting picks from South American leagues and competitions!
Price list: 1-month subscription - 50 euros 3-months subscription - 127 euros 6-months subscription - 240 euros For subscriptions, or more info, please contact: theiguana2005@yahoo.com
Showing posts with label General Diaz. Show all posts
Showing posts with label General Diaz. Show all posts
Nov 3, 2013
Sep 22, 2013
General Diaz - Sportivo Luqueno
Paraguay Primera Division, Clausura
I've been wrong many times about Diaz, but they just kept on going, and are having a season of a lifetime. They are one of the two teams that are still undefeated, halfway through the season, and if they can keep this going, they have some real chances of taking a place in a continental competition. They are in awesome for, since they are undefeated - as I mentioned previously - and they also have 4 consecutive wins. The only games that they weren't able to win were against the league giants: Cerro Porteno and Libertad, and they also drew against a surprising Capiata (3rd place). Luqueno rose quickly in the table following two consecutive wins, and are now on 5th place. But I won't pay too much attention to that, because they had some easy games recently. Their only wins so far came against rock-bottom Cerro PF, against traditionally poor Rubio Nu and against Sol de America. Hard to name any of those teams 'impressive'. And if we take those last two wins away from them, Luqueno would have just 5 points and would be sitting right next to Cerro PF. And in all honesty, that is pretty much their real value. I'm not really comfortable betting on Diaz, a small team that enjoys a fantastic run, because these runs are bound to end sooner or later, but this here is more like a bet against Luqueno, one of the poorest teams in the league, and the only reason why they are not in the relegation area, is because there are two worse teams. GL!
Diaz (-0.5 AH) @ 1.93, 3/10
Result: 2-1, WON
I've been wrong many times about Diaz, but they just kept on going, and are having a season of a lifetime. They are one of the two teams that are still undefeated, halfway through the season, and if they can keep this going, they have some real chances of taking a place in a continental competition. They are in awesome for, since they are undefeated - as I mentioned previously - and they also have 4 consecutive wins. The only games that they weren't able to win were against the league giants: Cerro Porteno and Libertad, and they also drew against a surprising Capiata (3rd place). Luqueno rose quickly in the table following two consecutive wins, and are now on 5th place. But I won't pay too much attention to that, because they had some easy games recently. Their only wins so far came against rock-bottom Cerro PF, against traditionally poor Rubio Nu and against Sol de America. Hard to name any of those teams 'impressive'. And if we take those last two wins away from them, Luqueno would have just 5 points and would be sitting right next to Cerro PF. And in all honesty, that is pretty much their real value. I'm not really comfortable betting on Diaz, a small team that enjoys a fantastic run, because these runs are bound to end sooner or later, but this here is more like a bet against Luqueno, one of the poorest teams in the league, and the only reason why they are not in the relegation area, is because there are two worse teams. GL!
Diaz (-0.5 AH) @ 1.93, 3/10
Result: 2-1, WON
Aug 20, 2013
General Diaz - Cerro Porteno
Paraguay Primera Division, Clausura
Cerro Porteno may be out of Copa Sudamericana, but their schedule isn't at all more relaxed these days. They will have to face General Diaz today, and they have the SuperClasico against Olimpia during the weekend. But we have some good news, as coach Arce said he will use the best he has, in order to take the three points and to continue at the top of the standings. Diaz is a bubble that it's about to burst, and even though they managed a highly unlikely win on Friday, trashing Guarani by 3-0 on their own ground, I won't let myself get carried away, and I just can't see how their form will last. They aren't one of the better teams in the league, and even though they are enjoying a good run lately (besides the win against Guarani, they also drew with Nacional and Libertad), I'm confident it will end sooner, rather than later. Since Cerro will be using their main squad here, they should have the first chance in this match, and if we also think about the fact that they've won both matches against Diaz in the Apertura, I think we should see a repeat of those results. GL!
Cerro (-0.25 AH) @ 1.93, 3/10
Result: 1-1, HALF-LOST
Cerro Porteno may be out of Copa Sudamericana, but their schedule isn't at all more relaxed these days. They will have to face General Diaz today, and they have the SuperClasico against Olimpia during the weekend. But we have some good news, as coach Arce said he will use the best he has, in order to take the three points and to continue at the top of the standings. Diaz is a bubble that it's about to burst, and even though they managed a highly unlikely win on Friday, trashing Guarani by 3-0 on their own ground, I won't let myself get carried away, and I just can't see how their form will last. They aren't one of the better teams in the league, and even though they are enjoying a good run lately (besides the win against Guarani, they also drew with Nacional and Libertad), I'm confident it will end sooner, rather than later. Since Cerro will be using their main squad here, they should have the first chance in this match, and if we also think about the fact that they've won both matches against Diaz in the Apertura, I think we should see a repeat of those results. GL!
Cerro (-0.25 AH) @ 1.93, 3/10
Result: 1-1, HALF-LOST
Aug 17, 2013
Guarani - General Diaz
Paraguay Primera Division, Clausura
Guarani found it hard recently in the league, mainly due to their matches in Copa Sudamericana, which forced them to apply some squad rotations in the league. That's why they are still without a win in this tournament, after 3 rounds, and are sharing the last place in the standings with Nacional and Rubio Nu. It's quite an unacceptable situation for them, and the coach thinks the same. That is why it is expected that they will be fielding their best available squad tonight, without resting anyone in expectancy of their Libertadores match from next week, against Atletico Nacional. And if that happens, I give them the first option to take a win tonight, and it should be a rather easy win. General Diaz are nothing special, and despite being undefeated in Clausura, they have only recorded draws so far. If you look at the names, it may appear as quite a performance, but Libertad are reconstructing their team, Capiata is a very poor team, while Nacional was resting almost their entire squad. It should be a different affair now, if Guarani won't hold anything back, and even though Diaz won the first match played this year, I just don't see them making a repeat of that performance. GL!
Guarani (-0.5 AH) @ 2.00, 3/10
Result: 0-3, LOST
Guarani found it hard recently in the league, mainly due to their matches in Copa Sudamericana, which forced them to apply some squad rotations in the league. That's why they are still without a win in this tournament, after 3 rounds, and are sharing the last place in the standings with Nacional and Rubio Nu. It's quite an unacceptable situation for them, and the coach thinks the same. That is why it is expected that they will be fielding their best available squad tonight, without resting anyone in expectancy of their Libertadores match from next week, against Atletico Nacional. And if that happens, I give them the first option to take a win tonight, and it should be a rather easy win. General Diaz are nothing special, and despite being undefeated in Clausura, they have only recorded draws so far. If you look at the names, it may appear as quite a performance, but Libertad are reconstructing their team, Capiata is a very poor team, while Nacional was resting almost their entire squad. It should be a different affair now, if Guarani won't hold anything back, and even though Diaz won the first match played this year, I just don't see them making a repeat of that performance. GL!
Guarani (-0.5 AH) @ 2.00, 3/10
Result: 0-3, LOST
Aug 11, 2013
General Diaz - Nacional
Paraguay Primera Division, Clausura
Nacional of Asuncion achieved a great feat this week, as they qualified for the second round of Copa Sudamericana, and they've done so in great fashion, by snatching a point in the altitude of Bolivia, a place where only a few low-land teams come out alive from. Now they will have to return to their local league, and obviously, some players may not be at their best when it comes to fitness. So, a few players won't even be taken into account for this match, and the biggest loss will be forward Julian Benitez, who scored 13 goals in 17 matches. In the game's squad, there are still several regulars, but I doubt we will see much action from them, and mostly an alternative squad is expected, and I'm also not expecting the best from the players that also played a very tiring match in Bolivia. And if we are to estimate the value of Nacional's alternative squad, we can note their defeat last week, at home, against Sol de America. General Diaz are not a good team, far from that, but they can pull off some nice results from time to time, like 2 consecutive home draws with Libertad last month. They are well motivated, so it will be just a case of what team Nacional will field, and how the players will cope. But in such a case, I think it would be worthwhile trying a bet on the hosts. GL!
Diaz (+0.5 AH) @ 1.91, 3/10
Result: 0-0, WON
Nacional of Asuncion achieved a great feat this week, as they qualified for the second round of Copa Sudamericana, and they've done so in great fashion, by snatching a point in the altitude of Bolivia, a place where only a few low-land teams come out alive from. Now they will have to return to their local league, and obviously, some players may not be at their best when it comes to fitness. So, a few players won't even be taken into account for this match, and the biggest loss will be forward Julian Benitez, who scored 13 goals in 17 matches. In the game's squad, there are still several regulars, but I doubt we will see much action from them, and mostly an alternative squad is expected, and I'm also not expecting the best from the players that also played a very tiring match in Bolivia. And if we are to estimate the value of Nacional's alternative squad, we can note their defeat last week, at home, against Sol de America. General Diaz are not a good team, far from that, but they can pull off some nice results from time to time, like 2 consecutive home draws with Libertad last month. They are well motivated, so it will be just a case of what team Nacional will field, and how the players will cope. But in such a case, I think it would be worthwhile trying a bet on the hosts. GL!
Diaz (+0.5 AH) @ 1.91, 3/10
Result: 0-0, WON
Mar 24, 2013
Nacional Asuncion - General Diaz
Paraguay Primera Division, Apertura
I'm sure we would have had much lower odds if this match would have been played in the first round of the championship... but after an impressive start from General Diaz, the bookies are overreacting, thus giving us some nice odds. I'm not denying General Diaz's merits here, as it is an extraordinary feat to have 6 consecutive wins after their promotion to the top division, and to see among those wins some high-profile results like 1-0 as visitors against Olimpia and Guarani. However, this form won't be lasting forever, and they are bound to go on a downward trend soon. And Nacional looks like the best team to end this run for them. They are on second place, 3 points behind Diaz, with5 out of 6 wins. Besides the shameful defeat at Cerro de Franco (2-5), they also have some good wins, like the 1-0 against Libertad, and the morale boosting 3-0 win against Olimpia. They will definitely miss Silvio Torrales, who is on international duty, but other than that, they shouldn't have too many squad problems. General Diaz certainly won't be pushovers here, but with a solid team, good form and also with the home advantage, Nacional should take this. GL!
Nacional (-0.5 AH) @ 1.86, 4/10
Result: 1-0, WON
I'm sure we would have had much lower odds if this match would have been played in the first round of the championship... but after an impressive start from General Diaz, the bookies are overreacting, thus giving us some nice odds. I'm not denying General Diaz's merits here, as it is an extraordinary feat to have 6 consecutive wins after their promotion to the top division, and to see among those wins some high-profile results like 1-0 as visitors against Olimpia and Guarani. However, this form won't be lasting forever, and they are bound to go on a downward trend soon. And Nacional looks like the best team to end this run for them. They are on second place, 3 points behind Diaz, with5 out of 6 wins. Besides the shameful defeat at Cerro de Franco (2-5), they also have some good wins, like the 1-0 against Libertad, and the morale boosting 3-0 win against Olimpia. They will definitely miss Silvio Torrales, who is on international duty, but other than that, they shouldn't have too many squad problems. General Diaz certainly won't be pushovers here, but with a solid team, good form and also with the home advantage, Nacional should take this. GL!
Nacional (-0.5 AH) @ 1.86, 4/10
Result: 1-0, WON
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)