Fenix - Wanderers

Uruguay Primera Division, Apertura

Interesting duel in Uruguay, between two teams that haven't confirmed yet. Fenix is the only team that hasn't scored a single point yet, losing all 4 of their matches played so far. However, if we are to find excuses for them, we can say that their schedule hasn't been exactly comfortable, as they had to play against contenders Defensor Sporting, and against other teams that so far played beyond expectations and are in the upper half of the standings: El Tanque (2nd place), Sud America (6th place) and Racing (7th place). And in most of those matches, Fenix hasn't been that bad, as they played quite all right, dominated in certain periods, but had a lot of bad luck. On the other hand, Wanderers managed to gather 5 points, but that could be considered rather low, as they played against 4 teams ranked in the bottom half of the table, and they only managed to win once, 1-0 against Liverpool. And even though they have only lost one match, they haven't been at all convincing. Fenix are bound to take some points, sooner rather than later, as they must start converting their chances, and with Wanderers showing some poor results recently, I think they have a very good opportunity to start taking points today. Also, in the last 15 mutual matches, there was just one win for the visitors (Wanderers in 2008), so these games are traditionally bad for the travelers. GL!

Fenix DNB @ 2.02, 4/10
Result: 2-2, VOID

Wanderers - Penarol

Uruguay Primera Division, Apertura

If there's one match where we can expect to see some goals in Uruguay, this must be it. Both teams have been performing admirably, with good attacking lines and offensive style of play. And of course, if that's the case, then the defenses are the ones that have to suffer. The match will be played on Estadio Centenario, so Penarol will be at home (like it's usually the case when they play), so they can just play their usual game, which went so well within the last few weeks (since October, they had just one match which ended with less than 3 goals, and it was against Nacional, ending in a 0-0 draw... all the other games have been won clearly by Penarol). Wanderers have been alternating good performances with poor ones, but they like to play against teams that don't lock up in their own halves. Morale should also be high, since they are coming from 2 consecutive victories, in which they scored 6 goals. One more thing worth mentioning is that the last 5 official games between them and Penarol have ended with a minimum of 3 goals, so this should be a minimum for today as well. GL!

over 3 goals @ 1.74, 3/10
Result: 1-2, VOID

Liverpool - Wanderers

Uruguay Primera Division, Apertura

When I saw the opening odds for this match, I never though I'd make a bet here, but the recent odds movements pull me closer. Liverpool went down from 1.98 to 1.65, and for no clear reason. They were performers last season in the league, but with most of their players gone, and with a very short squad, the 12th place that they are currently on is a fair reflection. Things haven't changed lately, except their schedule, which is now more 'breathable' since their elimination from Copa Sudamericana. They have 2 consecutive lost matches, and their only 3 victories in their last 10 games, came against newly promoted Progreso, and against bottom teams Cerro Largo and Central Espanol. Meanwhile, Wanderers aren't a great team either, but they can be a real pain most of the times. They are also coming from a bad run of form, mostly due to a lot of injuries, but today they will be able to recover some of those players. The only absences will be midfielders Santiago Martinez (9/1) and Diego de Souza (6/0). Otherwise no changes from their standard team, with Maxi Rodriguez also set to start from the first minute. Medium stakes on this bet, for which I see a lot of value (Liverpool might still be slightly better, but not worthy of those odds), and if anyone can get a +0.75, the stakes can be increased. GL!

Wanderers (+0.5 AH) @ 2.37, 3/10
Result: 2-3, WON

Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers

Uruguay Primera Division, Clausura

The Uruguay Clausura is starting tonight, and a lot is expected from several team. Nacional is of course one of them, because ever since Juan Ramon Carrasco took over, the club has been reborn. Carrasco won 6 games and drew another 2, to finish Apertura as 2nd in the tables. And every time one of his teams are playing, the viewers can be sure to see a nice show. Carrasco is known as a super-offensive coach, and he rarely starts a match with less than 3 strikers on the pitch, and he has been doing that since his early managerial career. And we can look even at Nacional in the Apertura, where they managed to score 20 goals in the 8 games under his command. And for today, a 3-3-1-3 system is expected, and that is clearly a message of 'score as much as possible'. Wanderers also isn't a team to crowd the defense and hope for a draw. They have some fast players, and try to take advantage of the opposition's spaces every time possible. And since Nacional will be focused on attack, and with their ultra-offensive tactics, Wanderes will have plenty of spaces. The line for the over seems small, and I doubt we'll be seeing anything less than 3 goals. GL!

over 2.5 goals @ 1.88, 4/10

Result: 1-1, LOST