Copa Libertadores
Nice odds on the Peruvians here, despite them dropping a bit since the market opened. Alianza wants the qualification to the Group stage, and for this they want and need to win, and win big, in order to save themselves from extra-stress in the tricky return leg. Alianza had a solid off-season, managing to bring in some good players like Junior Viza (who unfortunately won't play today), or Christian Ramos from the league champions. They also played several friendlies in Argentina, with positive results, the highlight being their success in the Copa Ciudad de Rosario, ahead of Newell's and Universidad Catolica, in which they played some good matches, and their strikers Ovelar and Peirone (who are expected to start tonight as well) seemed pretty comfortable. Jaguares looked like an uncomfortable team in the Mexican Apertura, but if there's one thing they miss, that's international experience, and they really need that against a rival like Alianza. They also needed to travel over 3000 km to Peru, this coming right after a match on Sunday, so some heavy legs are to be expected. Moreover, Jagures have only won 2 times as visitors in the league (one of them being away at lowly Necaxa), so for sure they are going to face some problems in Lima, against a team that knows how to put pressure, and against a fanatic public. Despite the drop, the odds are still good in my opinion, as the real price shouldn't have been more than 1.60 for Alianza. GL!
Alianza Lima (-0.5 AH) @ 1.85, 5/10
Result: 0-2, LOST
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