CONCACAF Champions League, Group Stage
Cruz Azul is facing this last round with a perfect score, and they are all but qualified. With a 3 points advantage over Herediano, a 3-0 in the direct match and a +3 advantage with the goal difference, only a disaster would stop Cruz Azul from qualifying. They can draw, they can even lose by a certain margin, and they would still qualify. But even so, if we look at the squad they picked for the travel to Costa Rica, we can see that they are treating this match rather seriously. It won't be their best squad, obviously (Mexican clubs rarely use all of their best players), but there are a lot of big names there, as they have chosen 7 key players to take on this match (including Julio Dominguez, Gerardo Torrado, Luis Perea and Pavone). No word yet on the official starting line-up, but I'm sure we'll see a lot of those key players, for a simple reason: there's no point in making them take the trip, if you're not going to play them. Herediano did an OK job as well, winning both matches against Valencia Leogane, but that's not something to count here. Cruz Azul beat them clearly in the home game, and even though today they don't need to win, Herediano could lose focus as well, as a miracle win is highly unlikely. GL!
Cruz Azul (-0.25 AH) @ 1.77, 4/10
Result: 1-2, WON
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Oct 23, 2013
Oct 22, 2013
Deportivo Capiata - Olimpia
Paraguay Primera Division, Clausura
The odds movement for this match was crazy: SBO opened with 2.41, went down to 2.18 and now the odds are standing at 2.82. And what's the reason for this change? To be honest, I have no idea, and it makes little sense. To put it simple, Olimpia sucks this season... they've had plenty of problems, both financial and administrative, and they failed miserably on all fields. And all we need to do is to look at their results: 8th in the table of 12, with just 14 points (19 behind the leaders and 11 behind Capiata), with just 1 win away from home, and with only 2 victories in their last 10 games, against lowly Carapegua and rock-bottom Cerro PF. Meanwhile, Capiata is the revelation of the season, with a very solid campaign: 3rd place in the table, and undefeated at home (only a draw with the other revelation, General Diaz; other than that, straight wins). So it's very hard for me to understand these odds, and with a safe DNB, I think there's plenty of value here. GL!
Capiata DNB @ 2.12, 3/10
Result: 1-0, WON
The odds movement for this match was crazy: SBO opened with 2.41, went down to 2.18 and now the odds are standing at 2.82. And what's the reason for this change? To be honest, I have no idea, and it makes little sense. To put it simple, Olimpia sucks this season... they've had plenty of problems, both financial and administrative, and they failed miserably on all fields. And all we need to do is to look at their results: 8th in the table of 12, with just 14 points (19 behind the leaders and 11 behind Capiata), with just 1 win away from home, and with only 2 victories in their last 10 games, against lowly Carapegua and rock-bottom Cerro PF. Meanwhile, Capiata is the revelation of the season, with a very solid campaign: 3rd place in the table, and undefeated at home (only a draw with the other revelation, General Diaz; other than that, straight wins). So it's very hard for me to understand these odds, and with a safe DNB, I think there's plenty of value here. GL!
Capiata DNB @ 2.12, 3/10
Result: 1-0, WON
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