U de Chile - Vasco da Gama

Copa Sudamericana, Semi-final

I was on the over in the first leg too, and even though the match ended as 1-1, the bet was right, as the flow was very good, and there were a lot of missed goal-chances. So I'm going to repeat that bet. Vasco needs to attack from the start, in order to take back the away goal that U de Chile got in the first game. The Brazilians are going for this match full strength, with all their players, showing that they really want this title. And with their attack working great most of the times, I'm confident they will get at least a goal. From there, it will all be up to U de Chile to decide the game. They have been compared to Barcelona, and indeed, they're style of play is very good. Always going for goals, always looking to get the ball forward... so don't expect them to sit back and wait, despite the slight advantage they have due to their away goal. And also, Vasco's defensive line is far from being solid, so a couple of fast and well placed balls will really prove troublesome. I'm expecting a very entertaining match, and this time I think we'll see goals, as revenge for the missed chances from last weeks. GL!

over 2.5 goals @ 1.96, 4/10

Result: 2-0, LOST

Cerro Porteno - 3 de Febrero

Paraguay Primera Division, Clausura

Huge match for both teams tonight. A couple of weeks ago, 3 de Febrero were already dead and buried, and no one gave them much chances of pulling off a miracle. But now, following a very encouraging run, they are hoping again. They took 7 points from the last possible 9 (could've made a clean sweep of 9/9, but received a late equalizer from Sol), including an emphatic 7-3 victory as visitors, at General Caballero, and a 2-1 win against powerhouse Libertad. They are playing with a new found self-belief, and I'm sure they'll fight until the last minute, especially since they need to make at least 6 points more than Luqueno (12 still available). Cerro Porteno also can't afford any wrong turns, as they are in the middle of a fierce battle for the title, and a win tonight could even see them take the lead of the championship (or at least they will keep the 2 points distance to current leaders Libertad). And for them, taking the title is the only option they have to qualify for the 2012 Libertadores. A loss here would not only destroy their chances for the title, but could also put their qualification to Sudamericana at risk. They should also receive an offensive boost, as playmaker Jonathan Fabbro is expected to play from the beginning. Both teams have been free-scoring lately, and with both of them expected to give their best, I'm counting on quite a nice match here.

over 2.75 goals @ 1.88, 3/10

Result: 3-0, HALF-WON

Rubio Nu - General Caballero

Paraguay Primera Division, Clausura

Odds went up for this match, without too much explanations, thus giving us what I see as some very nice value on the home team. The lines is now -0.75, and for that we have better odds than the original -1. Both teams are still fighting for something, although objectively speaking only Rubio Nu has some real chances of achieving something. They are currently sitting in the last place that qualifies to Copa Sudamericana, and if they want to keep it, they need to win here, as Guarani is just 2 points behind them. Morale should be high after last weekend's surprise win at Nacional, and they also have a domination of Caballero, having won all 3 of their matches this year. General Caballero is trying hard to avoid relegation, but nothing seems to be going their way. They are last in the promedio standings, and from my calculations they would need to win 3 of the last 4 matches in order to remain in the division (assuming Luqueno also loses all of their matches), but with their current form (lost 4 of their last 5 games, including a shocking 3-7 loss at home to 3 de Febrero), I doubt there is much they can do. GL!

Rubio (-0.75 AH) @ 2.12, 3/10

Abandoned in 42nd minute due to crowd violence, VOID

Juan Aurich - Cobresol

Peru Primera Division, Descentralizado

Juan Aurich may have secured their place in the final, but are still fighting, as they want the top spot, which will give them the small advantage of having to play the second leg of the final in Chiclayo. And they also want to remain in-form until the final, so they will use almost all of their best players tonight, and they should also be quite motivated to take the win, as Alianza has a tough away game against a relegation candidate, so the top spot is pretty much possible for Aurich. What's more, they will also receive an indirect helping hand from their opponents, as Cobresol will reportedly use reserves, and a lot of players from the second team, due to some debts and internal problems, for which the players from the main team have decided not to play tonight. Neither will the head coach be a part of the match. So against a Cobresol team that is knee-deep in problems, and with a very wak line-up, I expect a full strength Aurich to have little problems, and take an easy win. GL!

Juan Aurich (-1.25 AH) @ 1.90, 3/10

Result: 2-1, HALF-LOST

Universitario - Cesar Vallejo

Peru Primera Division, Descentralizado

With only 2 rounds remaining in the Peruvian league, everything is pretty much up for grabs. And who would have though that Universitario would have to play a relegation derby against Cesar Vallejo? Las Cremas lost 5 points off the pitch, which saw them fall down the table, only 3 points above the relegation zone, having to fight for their lives in the last rounds, but those problems now seem to have passed. The players signed the papers, despite not getting paid yet, and have sworn to do all they can to save the club from relegation. Universitario will field their best players, everyone is ready to go, and they will also count on the public's support to get out of this situation, as all the tickets available for this match have been sold-out. A win here would seal their presence in next year's league. Cesar Vallejo are on a relegation place, but unlike Universitario, they are there on their own merit, losing all the points on the field. They are in very poor form, especially away from home, where they have only won 2 games, in addition to a draw, and have lost the last 8 games played as visitors. Universitario has been solid at home so far, have a better squad, and there will be no questioning of their motivation, so I just can't see them failing to win tonight. GL!

Universitario (-1 AH) @ 1.89, 4/10

Result: 2-2, LOST