Copa Libertadores 2012, Group Stage
There is no doubt who is the better team here. Fluminense has the better players (much better, some of them), and are by far a more solid team than the Venezuelans, therefore they are rightly set as favorites (odds are too low anyway, but still, they are indeed big favorites). But Zamora showed many times that they're not such an easy nut to crack. Besides the 0-3 defeat at Arsenal, they showed good defending skills (if defending with 10 men can be called 'skill'), holding Boca to a 0-0 draw, and losing by just 0-1 in Brazil. They know they have no chances to qualify from this group, but for them, any point against their much ilustrious oponents is golden, so I'm expecting them to use the same tactics as before, with 10 men in front of their own goal (attacking would be suicidal, everybody knows that). And Fluminense are by no chance a team that likes to trash their opponents. They will most likely take their time trying to break an over-crowded defense, and a win by the limit will work just perfect for them. Can't see something more than a 2-0 win for the Brazilians, so the under is definitely worth a shot. GL!
under 2.5 goals @ 1.81, 4/10Result: 0-1, WON