Uruguay Primera Division, Apertura
Only 4 teams are still undefeated in Uruguay after 4 rounds, and 2 of them are facing each other in tonight's most attractive match. Danubio and Nacional are two of the league's 'greats', but so far, despite both being undefeated, they have pretty much opposed results, as Danubio won 1 and drew 3, while Nacional has it the other way around. And with Danubio acting as hosts today, I'll consider them slight favorites, even more so because Nacional's game is just not working right, and their defense is as bad as can be. And all of this despite their good win last week, 3-2 with River, despite playing for more than an hour with a man less. Coach Gallardo (who so far hasn't proved he has what it takes for this job) will make some changes in defense. Central defender Viera is suspended, which will provide another important blow for the team, but there will be changes in the lateral sections of the defense as well, in an attempt to solidify the second worst defense in the league. Danubio is traditionally strong at home, and I believe they can take advantage of Nacional's awful form. Anyway, the bookies made a mistake setting Nacional as favorites (I can't find a single argument for that), so the value is definitely on Danubio. GL!
Danubio DNB @ 1.97, 3/10Result: 1-1, VOID