Feb 6, 2014

Botafogo - Deportivo Quito

Copa Libertadores 2014, Play-off

Backed Botafogo in the first leg as well, and I'm definitely going to do it now too. As you probably know, Deportivo Quito was abandoned by many of their key players during the off season, due to their increasing financial problems, and the new players that joined the club are somewhat far from the previous standard, in my opinion. They did manage to win the first leg, it's true, but that was mainly due to their altitude advantage. I'm expecting a totally different game now, with Botafogo expected to take control early in the match. They have enough class within their ranks, with players like attacking midfielders Nicolas Lodeiro, Renato and Marcelo Mattos, defenders Bolivar and Andre Bahia, and forward Wallyson. Deportivo Quito also have a poor away record in continental competitions, practically only managing a win outside of Ecuador once every decade, and since the club's current state is rather low, I'm going for a solid Brazilian win here. GL!

Botafogo (-1.5 AH) @ 2.01, 5/10
Result: 4-0, WON

Feb 2, 2014

LDU Loja - Barcelona

Ecuador Serie A, Primera Etapa

I fancy Barcelona quite a lot this season, and even though the start has been rather difficult, I'm counting on a constant increase in form. They've made some good signings during the off-season, so I'm really expecting them to challenge Emelec for the title (they are pretty much the only ones that can do it), and we should only mention the signings of Laurito and Nieto (the top scorers of the 2013 season - they have more than 50 goals between themselves) to know that they mean business. And today will be the first match when they both start as regulars, so I'm obviously confident and excited that there will be some goals. However, the back looked shaky throughout their first two matches, and Loja is a team that can really hurt you if they find the spaces. Both their matches this season ended with several goals, and I'm counting on the talented Fabio Renato to pull something off here (Ivan Kaviedes can also play, after serving a suspension, but he isn't announced as a starter). Loja always played offensively, so I'm definitely expecting some goals here, especially since last year, these two teams had three over 2.5 games from four matches played. GL!

over 2.25 goals @ 1.96, 4/10
Result: 1-1, HALF-LOST