May 29, 2011

El Tanque Sisley - Miramar Misiones

Uruguay Primera Division, Clausura

With one and a half rounds left in Uruguay, most things are settled, but there are still some unknowns left, like who will be the third relegated team, and who will take the Sudamericana spots. Don't have many team news for this match, so I'm going to base this bet on the teams' motivation. El Tanque Sisley were the surprise package of the Apertura, fighting for the title until the last round. They lost a gear in Clausura, but even so, they are still left with some chances to qualify for Copa Sudamericana. Won't be easy for them, as there are a lot of teams fighting for those 2 spots, but with a win today, and other results going in their favor, El Tanque could jump up to 5th place in the aggregate table, and become favorite for qualification. They have a pretty decent home record in this tournament, 3-1-3, but 2 of those defeats came against Defensor and Penarol, so no blame there. Miramar is already releagted, so definitely no motivation for them. They are the worst team in the league, and the difference between the closest team in the relegation table is huge (18 points). 1-1-4 for them as visitors, and with lack of motivation, I doubt they will improve on that. Odds very high in my opinion, so the home win must be tried. GL!

El Tanque (-0.5 AH) @ 2.01, 3/10
Result: 4-1, WON