Jun 4, 2012

Peru - Colombia

FIFA World Cup 2014 Qualifiers

Odds have already dropped on this match, but even so, I think this bet is worth taking. We all know Peru as the team of 'The Fantastic 4': Guerrero, Farfan, Pizarro and Vargas. They have both experience and quality, but if you take them away, Peru is just an average team. And tonight, three of those four are out: Pizarro, Farfan and Vargas, and besides them, defender Carlos Zambrano will also miss today's match. That will leave them to take on this match a lot of local players, as the only Europe-based players will be Acasiete (Almeria), Cruzado (Chievo), Guerrero (Hamburg) and Carrillo (Sporting). Meanwhile, the Colombians have a strong team, especially in the back, where they have plenty of experience and quality (although quite old). From the midfield and up, we also see plenty of class, with Guarin, Cuadrado (Udinese), Pabon (Atletico Nacional) and, of course, Falcao. And under this circumstances, I think Colombia has the edge in this game, and should take at least a point tonight. GL!

Colombia DNB @ 2.00, 4/10
Result: 0-1, WON

Jun 3, 2012

Nacional - Liverpool

Uruguay Primera Division, Clausura

Hard to find a good bet in this last round of the Uruguayan championship, as only two teams still have something to play for. And from those two teams, I've chosen Nacional Montevideo. They are the Apertura winners, and will play for sure in the league's semi-final (which could transform in the league final). The scenario goes like this: the Apertura and the Clausura winners will play in the semi-final, and the winner will play in the final against the winner of the Anual table. Since Nacional and Defensor are the Apertura and Clausura champions, and they are also the only teams with chances to win the annual table, everything will be decided between them. And the important thing in this case is that if the Annual champion also wins it's semi-final match, they will be automatically win the league. If not, they will have to play a second game, which will count as the final. So it's quite a lot at stake here. Nacional are undefeated in their last 8 games in the league, and today Cabrera and Recoba are again expected to start in the midfield, with Porta and Viudez responsible with the goals. Liverpool plays for nothing, so it will be all up to Nacional to win the Annual table. GL!

Nacional (-0.75 AH) @ 1.89, 3/10
Result:  4-3, HALF-WON