Deportivo Capiata - Sp. Carapegua

Paraguay Primera Division, Clausura

Capiata is having the season of a life-time. They are on second place for the moment, and even though they have practically zero chances to win the title (12 points behind the leaders), they are almost certain of a Sudamericana participation, and even have some chances to go to Libertadores (they are 5 points behind Guarani). So there's still a lot to play for. Also, they are one of the two teams (along with the leaders) to be still undefeated in their home games, and have won 7 of their last 10 matches. So they have a good advantage going into this match, especially since Carapegua are among the worst travelers in the league, despite a recent glimpse of good form (they won at Luqueno, drew at home against an awful Cerro PF, and won last week against a Libertad side that has it's mind on Copa Sudamericana). If we take away those last 3 games, Carapegua look simply awful, and it's no surprise seeing them rock-bottom in the relegation table. It's true that Capiata lost their last game, 2-4 at Luqueno, but they had to do without a few key players, including forwards Dionisio Perez and Fabio Escobar, which will return for this game. There should be a clear difference between these two teams, and once again, I'm going with quality and form. GL!

Capiata (-0.75 AH) @ 1.92, 3/10
Result: 3-1, WON

Deportivo Capiata - Olimpia

Paraguay Primera Division, Clausura

The odds movement for this match was crazy: SBO opened with 2.41, went down to 2.18 and now the odds are standing at 2.82. And what's the reason for this change? To be honest, I have no idea, and it makes little sense. To put it simple, Olimpia sucks this season... they've had plenty of problems, both financial and administrative, and they failed miserably on all fields. And all we need to do is to look at their results: 8th in the table of 12, with just 14 points (19 behind the leaders and 11 behind Capiata), with just 1 win away from home, and with only 2 victories in their last 10 games, against lowly Carapegua and rock-bottom Cerro PF. Meanwhile, Capiata is the revelation of the season, with a very solid campaign: 3rd place in the table, and undefeated at home (only a draw with the other revelation, General Diaz; other than that, straight wins). So it's very hard for me to understand these odds, and with a safe DNB, I think there's plenty of value here. GL!

Capiata DNB @ 2.12, 3/10
Result: 1-0, WON

Deportivo Capiata - Olimpia

Paraguay Primera Division

Olimpia's coach has made it official, announcing that for what's left of the season, he will use a completely alternative squad, in order to keep the regulars fresh and fit for the Copa Libertadore's semi-final against Santa Fe. They have nothing to play for in the league anyway, since Nacional have already been crowned as champions a few rounds ago. The only thing left for them to play for is Copa Libertadores, therefore in the remaining two league rounds, we will be seeing a completely different team, consisting mainly of fringe reserve players mixed with a handful of youngsters. They're record in the league isn't great, especially away from home, where they are on 3-5-2 and a 10-11 goal difference. Capiata doesn't have any immediate objectives either, but I'm sure they'll play with fire for a few reasons. First of all, they are a small team, so any win/performance against one of the giants would be enough reasons to celebrate. Besides, they've already beaten Olimpia in their previous match, 3-2 as visitors, so a repeat of that performance would be something to remember. They also need to gather as many points as possible to make sure they won't get caught in the relegation battle, so I'm going for the minnows today. GL!

Capiata (+0.25 AH) @ 1.77, 4/10
Result: 1-1, HALF WON

Deportivo Capiata - Nacional

Paraguay Primera Division, Apertura

Strange team this Nacional in the first few rounds... they managed to pull off some very good results, like the 4-3 win against Carapegua, and 1-0 with Libertad, but the first time they had to travel, Cerro de Franco pounded them heavily, winning 5-2. From what I've seen and heard, whenever they are expected to take control of the match and push forward, they leave a lot of spaces behind, in an already shaky defense (this was avoided against Libertad with a more defensive formation). They are favorites for today's game, so they can't just sit back and wait, and normally they should concede, but from what I've seen so far, Capiata are among the poorest team in the league. They lost against fellow newcomers General Diaz in the opening round, and than they were simply trashed at home by Guarani, 0-5. They did manage to win last round against Rubio Nu, but only after a red card for Rubio (and they actually took the lead, one man down). So I don't really think they have chances to take something against Nacional. GL!

 

Nacional (-0.75 AH) @ 2.00, 4/10

Result: 0-1, HALF-WON