Aug 24, 2011

Santa Fe - Cesar Vallejo

Copa Sudamericana

Universidad Cesar Vallejo dreams of qualifying to the second round of Copa Sudamericana, but they might have a tough task ahead of them. They did manage to end their 5 match-run without a win, last week when they beat Sport Huancayo at home, but this time things shouldn't be that easy. Besides their poor form in the away games from their league, Cesar Vallejo will have to play tonight in the medium-high altitude of Bogota. They may be used to playing at altitude, since several Peruvian first teams are located in high cities, but it's never easy to do so. And we can look at the statistics of those matches: didn't win a single match at Cienciano from the last 10, won 1 out of 3 at Cienciano, 0 out of 3 at Leon de Huanuco, 0 out of 5 with Huancayo and 1 out of 9 at Melgar. So, they have only won 1 match from the 30 played at high altitude in the last 10 years. Bogota might be situated 'only' at 2600 meters of altitude, but we should also take into consideration the jet-lag, as there is an approximately 2000 km trip from Lima to Bogota. Overall, I rate Colombian football higher than the Peruvian one, and I think that everything here points towards a home win. Santa Fe can count on all their players, and they should be well rested, as the league still hasn't started yet. I'm going for the handicap, as I think Santa Fe will win it easier than the odds are suggesting. GL!

Santa Fe (-1 AH) @ 2.10, 3/10
Result: 2-0, WON

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