Copa Libertadores 2012, Group Stage
This is pretty much a repeat of last week's bet, with the only difference being that this time Santos will play at home, and have a sky high handicap. I usually don't like playing these handicaps (as I always end up looking like an idiot when they don't deliver), but this time I just can't see how we won't have at least a void. The quality difference was clear in the first leg, despite Aurich taking an early lead. Santos controlled the match and scored 3 goals, without even getting into second gear, hardly breaking a sweat. Besides, they can't afford to mess around, as they are tied on points with Inter and the Strongest, so a fail today could complicate their situation. But since they've beaten Inter at home with 3-1, I see no reason why they would take pitty of Aurich. The Peruvians are already knocked-out of their group (theoretically, they still have chances to qualify, but will need to take 6 points from Inter and Santos, and that is close to impossible), so I doubt their will to play and make a good result. They will probably just try to defend for as long as possible, but Santos has tons of individually skilled players, that could break that defense. Not going with higher stakes here, as there is no value, but it's a bet that 99% can't fail.
Santos (-2 AH) @ 1.87, 4/10
Result: 2-0, VOID
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