Apr 13, 2012

Olimpia - Emelec

Copa Libertadores 2012, Group Stage

Things are simple here: whoever wins, qualifies (a little plus for Olimpia, as they could also qualify with only a draw, provided Flamengo don't win their match). The hard part is to choose the correct bet, as I was oscilating between the handicap on Olimpia and the over. And I finally decided to go on the over, as both teams must go out in attack in order to win the match, and Olimpia's defense can make things interesting if they don't up their game. So, two offensive formations are expected, and since both teams have plenty of offensive power but also some lackluster defenses, goals are of course expected. Olimpia are the big favorites here, of course, and they are fully motivated to win this match, since they rested a lot of regulars in the league, so as to have them fit for this match. Once again, there will be a lot of expectations from Marin, Orteman, Caballero, Zeballos and Bianuchi. On the Ecuadorian side, De Jesus and Lucho Figueroa will be assigned with scoring the goals, and with Lucho's great experience and form (scored 2 last week against Flamengo), he is the man to watch. Winner takes it all here, so let's hope we'll also take some goals. GL!

over 2.25 goals @ 1.82, 5/10
Result: 2-3, WON

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