Emelec - Velez

Copa Libertadores 2013, Group Stage

Main reason for this bet is the very low line, which I believe it could well be reached by half-time. Emelec were amazing so far in their league, as they won all 3 matches, with an awesome 10-1 goal difference. This says a lot about their potential and about their offensive style of play. Of course, they are probably going to take a more careful approach tonight, as going all-in against Velez might well be suicidal, but the core is set, and they should try an go for a win. And they have a good record in this competition, and we can remember some of their matches from last year, especially the thrilling 3-2 win against Flamengo in Guayaquil, where Emelec came from behind twice. Velez is also a team that usually prefers to attack, and I'm confident they'll play the same today as well. But their defense should be the problem here, since they have barely started their national championship, while in the preparation matches they got a lot of head-aches from the defense, as they received 1 goal from Liverpool Montevideo and Penarol, and 4 goals from Cerro Porteno. They can be deadly while attacking, but at the same time they can suffer a lot at the back. And Emelec, playing close to their full potential, might just as well take advantage of that. GL!

over 2 goals @ 1.84, 4/10
Result: 1-0, LOST