Nacional - Defensor Sporting

Uruguay Primera Division, Clausura

If there's one thing we should be expecting in this match, than it must be goals. Nacional are set as big favorites, but I don't see it as being that easy for them, as they just had to play an exhausting match in Copa Libertadores at high altitude. However, after two of Defensor's best players have left the team, I can't trust them too much either, so I'll stay away from any handicaps. But a bet on goals looks good for several reasons: first of all, the aforementioned possible tiredness for Nacional's players, which could lead to some midfield/defensive mistakes. Then, we have their attacking style of play, which leaves a lot of space at the back. They have good and fast forwards, but they have also been prone to a lot of defensive mistakes recently (they played 2 official games this season, scoring 5 and conceding 5 - strikers Alonso and Sanchez both have 2 goals scored). And for this match, both teams are looking rather offensive on paper, with a tactical formation of 4-3-3. That may not mean much on the field, but they also have a nice history of scoring goals, as 6 of their last 10 games have ended with at least 3 goals (3 of their last 4 actually ended with 2-2 scores). The line is a bit higher than I would have liked, but if both teams stay true to their game plans, we should have an easy winner here. GL!

over 2.75 goals @ 2.05, 3/10
Result: 0-1, LOST