May 25, 2013

Fenix - Danubio

Uruguay Primera Division, Clausura

Fenix is playing on two fronts here, with two different objectives in mind. First of all, they need to assure their position in the Primera Division, as they are just 8 points ahead of the relegation zone (and Progreso will double up the remaining points, so there are still chances for Fenix to relegate). Then, they will also want to take another step towards a ticket for Copa Sudamericana, where they are just 1 point behind El Tanque Sisley. Danubio plays for nothing, as they are safe from relegation, and they also have minimal chances of going to a continental competition. They do have some slight chances of winning the Clausura, but with 5 points behind the leaders, and with 2 other teams between them, they will have to be realistic and call it a day. So I'm expecting Danubio to play without real motivation, wherein Fenix will be giving it they're all to achieve their objectives. They are in good form, with 3 victories in their last 5 games (lost only to league leaders Defensor), and are a strong team to play against, especially on their home ground (lost only one game, against Racing). Odds went up quite a bit since the market opened (probably because most people are backing Danubio for their title race), but with some poor recent performances, I find it hard to trust them. The available lines are looking very good, and Fenix gets my vote here.

Fenix DNB @ 1.88, 4/10
Result: 1-1, VOID

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