I'm expecting a much more balanced game than suggested by the odds here. I still see these teams as being pretty much equal (perhaps even with a small advantage for Cesar Vallejo), despite the Ecuadorians winning the first leg, in Peru. They don't even have the altitude advantage that other Ecuadorian teams have (Guayaquil is a port city), so things will also be equal from this point of view. And morale isn't too good also, since they lost in the last round at home against Manta FC, a team that recorded it's first away win of the season.So, they could be coming under some pressure. Besides, they can qualify even with a draw, or a narrow 1-0 defeat, so I'm not expecting some suicidal all-in tactics.
Another things that gives me hope is the fact that Cesar Vallejo is the best away team in the Peruvian league, and it is known that they can perform better when playing away, so a good performance tonight wouldn't be much of a surprise. Both teams are pretty much at full strength, although in Cesar Vallejo there are some doubts regarding their strikers, as both Candelo and Hurtado are 'doubtful' (but I'm pretty sure that both will be match-fit in time, before the kick-off). So, with the Peruvians expected to take the initiative, anything could happen here (it's also Copa Sudamericana, where unexpected results happen on a weekly basis), and the +1 handicap seems safe enough, although personally I'm going to risk it a bit more with a +0.5. GL!
Cesar Vallejo (+1 AH) @ 1.99, Sbobet, 4/10
Result: 3-1, LOST
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