Sep 25, 2010

Velez Sarsfield - Olimpo

Argentina Primera Division, Apertura 2010

Can't see past the home win here. And everything points out in favor of Velez: recent form, team quality, individual quality of the players, style of play, etc. Let's take it one by one... No need to insist too much on form, as the stats tables says it all: Velez with 3 wins on the run at home, newly promoted Olimpo with 4 straight defeats when playing away, also receiving 7 goals. Then, we should look at the quality of the team and players... while Velez are having top class players, like Zapata, Moralez and Silva, and so far are looking like solid title contenders (even more now that they've put the Sudamericana behund them- which is often a nuisance for Argentinian clubs), Olimpo has just average (at best) players, and by the way things are looking, they will be going back down to second division quite soon. Regarding team news, Velez should receive a boost, as they welcome back Zapata and Moralez, and that's likely to make a difference here, especially with the system 4-3-1-2 that they are looking to deploy (Martinez and Silva upfront are looking good as well). Meanwhile, Olimpo should receive quite a blow, as they will miss two important players, Marcelo Mosset (DF - 7/1) and Martin Rolle (CM - 4/0). All in all, this home win should be a lock, and even though the odds aren't great for the handicap, I just can't see this one failing. GL!

Velez (-1 AH) @ 1.76, 5/10
Result: 3-0, WON

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