All Boys - Independiente

Argentina Primera Division, Apertura

Nice odds for the over here, and a low line, but that's usual in Argentinian games, as in recent years very few matches are entertaining and provide lots of goals and excitement. All Boys looks to be an exception to the typical newly-promoted or 'small' team, who only look to close the spaces and hope for a lucky counter. All Boys don't refuse to play football, that is why their attack looks good, but also their defense looks poor. However, this style made them achieve some nice high-profile results, like the 2-1 win over Estudiantes, 2-0 win over Boca, and a highly entertaining 3-3 draw with Tigre. Big props for them, in hopes that they will continue playing like this, and they should, because every point could be decisive in the aggregate points table. No important changes expected for them tonight, as they will be looking to continue with their solid home form, and make another victim.

Independiente, on the other hand, made an awful start of the season, but it looks as if the worst has passed, since a new coach - 'El Turco' Antonio Mohamed - took over, and managed to win El Clasico de Avellaneda on his debut. But, now, the main problem for them is Copa Sudamericana, where they will have to overturn a 0-1 deficit next week, and since the title is far away, same as the Libertadores qualification, Mohamed decided to put emphasis on Sudamericana. Therefore, most of the regulars will be rested tonight, as the team will suffer no less than 8 changes in comparison to last week's Clasico. This could surely add another dent in their Apertura ambitions, and All Boys looks like a team that's capable to capitalize on this. And despite home win looking like the obvious choice, I'm going for the over, as I have plenty of experience with such games, and very often the over looks better. At least now, we even have better odds for the over. GL!

over 2.25 @ 2.07, 4/10

Result: 3-1, WON