Feb 23, 2011

Leon de Huanuco - Oriente Petrolero

Copa Libertadores

When the odds first became available, I said I'd stay away from this match, but they just keep getting higher and higher, and I see no reason for that, as the opening odds were seeming quite fair. Yes, Leon aren't going through their best moment, and after last year's fantastic achievement (Final of the league) I was pretty sure they had no chance of repeating that performance. And after Rodas and Perea, their best players in 2010, left, things didn't go too well, and Leon lost all 3 of their matches (2 in the league, 1 in Libertadores). The new players didn't blend in yet, and even if they are not of the same quality as last year's players, they are still good enough to keep Leon at a decent level. Gonzalez-Vigil has the duty to make Perea forgotten, and today he will start as a regular. Overall, Leon isn't performing too bad, but they miss something... even against Cobresol, they attacked and put some pressure, but the goal never came. Oriente isn't a bad team either, as they showed last week, when they really put some pressure on Gremio in the start of the match, but slowly things turned around, and they lost 0-3 in Brazil. They are nothing special, and even though their attack can put some pressure, their defense is likely to neutralize and advantages, as they seem quite poor at defending. And they also have an awful record against Peruvian teams, losing 7 out of 8 matches, so I don't see why not to try Leon at the current odds. GL!

Leon (-0.75 AH) @ 1.94, 3/10
Result: 1-0, HALF WON

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