Peru Primera Division, Descentralizado
The handicap is very high again, but after what I've seen in the first round, I don't give newly promoted Union Comercio any chances to take something from this match. Although it's still very early in the season, my expectations were pretty much confirmed, as Juan Aurich look strong enough to fight for a continental cup again, while Union Comercio are for the drop. In the first round, Juan Aurich made a very good match away at Universitario, finishing 0-0. They showed a very solid defense, nice ball circulation in the midfield and a very dangerous attack. And today they will start with a formation slightly more offensive, in order to capitalize on the chances they get, and to start summing up 3 points. Meanwhile, Union Comercio held well against Alianza Lima, until the last minutes, when they just cracked and finally lost 4-1. But even when the match was heading for a draw, Union's play was not encouraging, as Alianza was soundly dominating the proceedings, and it was obvious it was just a matter of time before the goal came. It's extremely difficult for a newly-promoted team to visit Chiclayo and snatch points, and I don't see how Union can do it. Probably won't be as easy match, but a 2-0 or 3-0 is very much on the cards, probably with some second half goals, as Juan Aurich accustomed us. GL!
Juan Aurich (-1.5 AH) @ 1.80, 3/10
Result: 3-2, LOST
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