Copa Libertadores
Jaguares Chiapas is one strange team. Last place in the standings in the Mexican league with one round to go, lost, only one win in their last 8 league matches, but still they managed to qualify from their Libertadores group, mainly because Emelec are idiots and couldn't win in Bolivia. Because Jaguares won all of their home matches, but lost all of their away ones, including a 1-2 loss in Bolivia, against second division team Jorge Wilstermann, a tea, which they've barely beaten in the first round, 2-0 following some late goals. So why are they such favorites against a strong Colombian team (that managed to win their group with Gremio), is beyong my comprehension. Junior is obviously the much better team (in fact, I see Jaguares as the poorest team to reach this stage), and indeed, playing away from home in Mexico can't be an easy job, no matter how poor Jaguares are. But, I expected the odds to be more balanced, maybe even with Junior set as small favorites, so in this case, I see some very nice value on the Colombians. +0.75 is close to a gift in my opinion, as it gives us a 'safe zone' even in case of an unexpected Mexican victory, but I honestly don't see this happening. Junior should win this match, but a draw won't be that bad either, so this handicap is a must-take. GL!
Junior (+0.75 AH) @ 1.75, 4/10
Result: 1-1, WON
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