May 2, 2011

Emelec - LDU Quito

Ecuador Serie A, Primera Etapa

This bet is a follow-up of the recent trend I've noticed in Ecuador, which I hope that it will continue today as well. Usually, when two of the better teams of the championship meet, we don't see a goal fest... sometimes, we hardly see any goals, as both the respective teams look to be more concerned about not losing the match, rather than winning it, so they don't take what they consider to be unnecessary risks in attack, as they usually try to secure their defense. For today's match, Emelec (1st place) will meet LDU Quito (2nd place, one point behind), in a match that could decide the first finalist. Despite LDU's participation in Libertadores, where they need to correct a 0-3 against Velez next week, they will use their best players for today's match, in order to keep touch with the top of the standings, and that should mean that they will try to be as compact as possible, as a draw would be a good result. Emelec has already announced they will try to play possession football, and with the lack of goals recently showed (only once in their last 7 games have they score more than 1 goal), I'm counting on another boring affair. In the last 11 matches between them, 10 have ended with a maximum of 2 goals (5 with just one goal). And if we look to their matches this season against the other top teams (Cuenca and Deportivo Quito), LDU has played 3 matches, all of them ending with unders, while Emelec also played 3, also ending all of them with unders. GL!

under 2.25 goals @ 1.83, 3/10
Result: 1-0, WON

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