May 5, 2011

Universidad Catolica - Gremio

Copa Libertadores

Pretty tough round in Copa Libertadores, but this match looks like the best choice out of all the matches. Universidad Catolica made a very good game last week, and totally deserved their 2-1 win from Brazil. Gremio didn't look like much in this competition, and are here mainly because they had an easy group (Junior, Leon Huanuco and Oriente Petrolero), and because of their solid home plays, as they won all 3 matches at home. On the contrary, when it comes to playing away, we see a totally different team, as they failed to win a single match this year in Libertadores, including a 2-2 draw against Liverpool in the play-off round, and a shocking 0-3 defeat in Bolivia. Now, with a loss at home, they really have a mountain to climb, and the news only get worse. They will miss at least 7 very important players for tonight's match, and those left and considered fit to play, have also played during the weekend. Take into account a more than 3000 km trip to Chile, and a change of climate, and things look very grim for the Brazilian side. Catolica surely won't miss the opportunity to qualify for the quarters of final, so I expect full focus from them. A Brazilian team is always dangerous, but I don't give much chances to a depleted Gremio, who are also poor travelers. GL!

Universidad Catolica (-0.25 AH) @ 1.80, 4/10
Result: 1-0, WON

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