LDU Quito - Velez

Copa Libertadores

LDU is coming after quite a bad series of matches, but I still trust them and their power to recover their game. After a 0-3 trashing, they need at least the same score tonight to have chances to advance, and since it is a well-known fact that they become a monster in their Casa Blanca stadium, I'm going to go with them again. 3 matches have passed since they last won, as they recorded a 0-0 draw against Espoli (were using a mixed team then), got trashed in Argentina, and also lost the derby with Emelec. Things are quite perfect there, so it's time for the players to turn things around. Argentinian teams are known to be having serious problems with the high altitude (same as the Brazilian teams... they are the most affected), so that will be the first obstacle they will have to pass. Last few Argentinian teams that visited Quito, went back with a bag full of goals (in 2009, Lanus got a 0-4, while this year, Independiente got a 0-3), and while Velez seems to be stronger than the others, they won't have an easy life, LDU will go blazing in attack, knowing that they need lots of goals as fast as possible. LDU has 2 suspended players, but Velez is evening the odds, as they will also miss striker Silva and midfielder Victor Zapata, and I see them as more important misses than the Ecuadorians. Hope LDU will make a miracle, and qualify, but let's just keep a simple bet here. GL!

LDU (-0.5 AH) @ 1.74, 3/10

Result: 0-2, LOST