May 5, 2011

Libertad - Fluminense

Copa Libertadores

Another bet for today, but smaller stakes, as I don't feel so confident as with the other match. Libertad were really impressive in the group stage, being undefeated, and having one of the most prolific attacks, only behind Cruzeiro and Inter, and they practically cruised through the group. Can't say they had to face some very tough opponents (Once Caldas, San Martin, San Luis), but their style of play looked very solid and confident. Meanwhile, Fluminense qualified for the next round quite undeservedly, as they finished level on points with Nacional Montevideo, and only qualified due to some dodgy last minutes against Argentinos Juniors, as they took the advantage with more goals scored than Nacional, after a late penalty in Argentina. In the first leg, Libertad didn't make such a bad match, actually managing to put some pressure on the Brazilians in the beginning of the second half, creating some chances and even scoring the equalizer. Some late goals gave Flu a big advantage, but Libertad still looks promising for this return leg, and even though the qualification is pretty far, I'm sure they'll give their best. Fluminense don't have to panic, as they sit comfortable with a 2-goals lead, and I see Libertad taking over the match, and will probably win it. GL!

Libertad (-0.25 AH) @ 1.94, 3/10
Result: 3-0, WON

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