Jun 11, 2011

LDU Loja - Emelec

Ecuador Serie A, Primera Etapa

Don't understand the odds here. Liga de Loja are certainly no push-overs, as they surprisingly proved along the season, at the moment sitting on 5th place, 9 points behind the leaders. It was more than a successful season for the newly-promoted team, but to make them favorites so late in the season, against title challengers Emelec is a bit crazy in my opinion. With only 2 rounds to go, Emelec are trying hard to win this Primera Etapa, and seal their place in the championship finals, but this task is out of their hands. They are tied on points with LDU Quito, but the reigning champions have a game in hand, meaning that Emelec has to win both remaining matches, and then hope for a Quito slip-up. Nevertheless, they are not giving up, and will do their best. Pretty much full squad available for them today, and since they are the best away team in the league, against a solid home team, this match is expected to be a cracker. Loja is a good home team, but only against the lower teams... whenever a big name comes to visit, they usually flop (0-0 with Barcelona and Cuenca, 1-2 with LDU). I was actually expecting something like 2.20 odds for Emelec -0.5, so the current line/odds definitely has value in my eyes. GL!

Emelec DNB @ 2.07, 3/10
Result: 1-4, WON

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