Mexico - Guatemala

CONCACAF Gold Cup 2011

Mexico went into the quarter-finals with an 100% record in the group stage, reaffirming their status as huge favorites (especially after USA's recent slumps). But not only did they with all 3 of their matches so far, the fashion in which they did was really top-class: two consecutive 5-0 victories against El Salvador and Cuba, followed by a 4-1 win against Costa Rica, in a match where Mexico actually rested a couple of players. So it is quite clear that they are at least one class better than all of the other teams present. They should get a nice rest before this match (5 days between the matches), and I expect them to power their engines again (although they don't need even 50% to easily beat anyone). Guatemala managed an unspectacular qualification, but they were in the weakest group, along Jamaica, Honduras and Grenada. A draw with Honduras, defeat against Jamaica and just a 2-0 win with poor Grenada were enough for them to qualify, although as the best ranked 3rd place finisher. But they are poor, and if Jamaica managed to beat them easily, I also expect a total wash-out from Mexico. The handicap could have been bigger (I was actually expecting a -2.5), so this one looks more than acceptable. I just don't see Mexico failing to win by more than 3 goals. GL!

Mexico (-2.25 AH) @ 1.75, 4/10

Result: 2-1, LOST