Ecuador Serie A, Segunda Etapa
Big derby tonight in Quito, and I'm going to again follow the trend of the low scoring Clasicos. As I've said many times before, it is a custom in Ecuador that 95% of the derbies end with very few goals, and usually with draws. And the clash between the two powerhouses from Quito is no different. In their last 10 direct meeting, only one of them had more than two goals (6 of them actually had only one or none), and 5 of those 10 games ended in draws. So it's pretty clear that neither team wants to lose, and that is slightly more important than trying to win. Deportivo Quito is the undefeated leader of this second stage, so a draw would suit them perfectly, as they are 4 points ahead of Barcelona, with 2 games in hand, both of them with LDU (and 2 draws in those matches would see them 6 points clear, which should be ok for them). From the 10 games played so far, Deportivo has only conceded in one of them, the 2-2 draw with Imbabura, otherwise they have kept a clean sheet in every other match. LDU had a lot of ups and downs, and are pretty far away from the top position, but they are still in the race for Copa Sudamericana, and that could save the year for them. Deportivo is well rested, as they had 2 weeks off, while LDU played a mid-week match in Sudamericana, but both teams are expected to use their best squad tonight. I'm going with history here, and putting my money on the under, but a draw could also be tried. GL!
under 2.25 goals @ 1.72, 3/10
Result: 1-1, HALF-WON
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