Copa Libertadores 2012, Group Stage
Odds are moving slightly in our favor, and despite these teams starting their campaign in oposite moods, I'm favoring the home win here. Uruguayan football is much better than the Ecuadorian one, in my opinion at least, that is why we usually see the teams from Uruguay in the latter stages of continental competitions (last year for example, Penarol played the Libertadores final), while the Ecuadorians (with LDU as the exception) nowhere to be found. And despite starting the competition by being trashed at home by Velez, I believe there's more to Defensor than that, although the loss should come as no surprise, Velez being a very strong team. Ecuadorian teams are usually poor travelers, and despite their creditable 1-1 draw in Mexico, which was much deserved, I still don't see Deportivo as a big threat when it comes to big games. A slight advantage in motivation also for Defensor, as they are the ones that are in the need of a win, while Deportivo can still have hopes even in case of a defeat, as winning in Quito won't be easy for anybody. No major squad problems for any of them, so if Defensor can play to their potential, they should take the points here. GL!
Defensor (-0.5 AH) @ 2.05, 4/10
Result: 2-0, WON
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