Paraguay Primera Division, Apertura
Crazy, simply crazy odds movement for this match! This to me looks by far the most overish match of the round, but somehow the bookies don't agree with me, so let's hope it's their mistake, not mine. Cerro Porteno are natural title contenders, and are gunning hard to get their hands on a trophy again this season. Pretty much same squad as last year, which should bring consistency and game relations already set. Luqueno are trying to put behind them the disaster that was last season, and to avoid relegation, and for this to happen, they have to make every point count. However, without any serious reinforcements, they seem to be one of the main relegation contenders. Cerro Porteno will probably start this match with do Santos, Fabbro, Edgar Benitez and Nanni, their main offensive force, so goals are sure to come. And the over looks even more encouraging if we look at their past results from 2011, having 17 goals score in 4 games, only one of them ending with an underish 1-0 for Cerro. Max stake for this bet, as I really see a lot of value in the recent odds movement. GL!
over 2.5 goals @ 2.08, 4/10
Result: 2-0, LOST
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