Copa Libertadores 2012, Group Stage
If there's Nacional, there is always a good setting for goals, and this should be no exception. Won't go into details again, but a good offense and a poor offense should do the trick again. Especially since neither of these teams can afford to lose points, and I am confident that both will go for the win. First of all, Nacional kick-started their Libertadores campaign with a huge surprise, winning 2-1 in Brazil, but all their hard work was wasted one week later, as they lost all points at home to Libertad. And since their home game with Vasco won't be even close to easy, they need to take some points from another travel, and Alianza seems to be the most accesible. Gallardo prepares a 4-3-3 tactic, with Viudez, Medina and Sanchez in attack, and Recoba and Bogghosian on the bench, so nice fire-power for the Uruguayans. Alianza is also desperate for points, as they currently have 0 after 2 matches. They still have 3 games to play at home, so there is still hope, but only one more wrong turn and they will be 99% out. Their defense is also on the poor side, managing to concede 7 goals in their 2 matches. They should also be well rested, as they had the weekend off. Also, from their 4 official matches of the year, all of them ended with at least 3 goals, while Nacional has 5 overs in 6 matches (except the last one, where they used a lot of substitues). Let's hope they keep with this trend. GL!
over 2.25 goals @ 2.02, 5/10
Result: 1-0, LOST
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