Paraguay Primera Division, Apertura
Odds again going crazy for this match, and again, I don't see a reason for that. Guarani are a quality team, and lately they've been in good form. They've lost two matches earlier on, but now they are coming from a hard worked draw at Libertad, and a 4-0 trashing of Tacuary. They are coming into this game on a high note, and I'm sure they want to continue in this trend, especially since their opponents look like a team that will allow them to do that. Pretty much full squad, with goalkeeper Aurrecochea back in the team after his ban. Important absences are just defender Filippini and midfielder Mendoza, but it shouldn't matter too much, as Luqueno will most likely come to defend. Speaking about Luqueno, they had a miserable finish last season, but they gave their fans some hope, beating Cerro Porteno in this Apertura's debut. But that was just smoke without fire, as they couldn't build on that... they lost at Libertad, consecutive draws with Carapegua and Tacuary (two easy opponents) and a 3-0 win over Cerro de Franco, but that's nothing special, as CF are big favorites to return to the second division. Head-to-head also favors Guarani, as they have won their last 4 matches at home against Luqueno, and haven't lost at home with them since 2006. Odds have value, so I'll go with a bit higher stake. GL!
Guarani (-0.5 AH) @ 2.16, 4/10
Result: 3-1, WON
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