Copa Libertadores 2012, Group Stage
Boca has already qualified from this group, therefore they are switching their immediate focus on the local league, where they are the Clausura leaders, although tied on points with Newell's, and with Velez and Arsenal close by. That's why coach Falcioni will make a massive rotation in the team, leaving only 2 regulars for this match: defender Insaurralde and play maker Riquelme (this may seem as bad news, as Riquelme can have some genius-moments, but from what I've seen, he usually slows down the play, which will suit our bet). Other than that, a lot of reserves, players that haven't seen much action, especially all together at once, so game relations should suffer. Also, one of the forwards (Blandi) didn't play a single full match this season for Boca, and obviously he doesn't have a single goal scored. Now, this match isn't exactly without meaning, as Boca could win the group with 3 points today (provided that Fluminense don't win their match), thus assuring an easier opponent in the next stage. However, I don't think they'll push too much for the trashing, especially with an alternative team, and even a narrow win will be good for them. Zamora will most likely defend with 10 men, as they usually do, so I can't count on them to score. They have never received more than 3 goals in a match this season (just 3 against Arsenal, plus 1 goal/match in the rest except the 0-0 draw with Boca), and with the Argentinians not expected to press too much, this bet looks very nice. GL!
under 3 goals @ 2.06, 4/10
Result: 2-0, WON
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