Apr 21, 2012

Inti Gas - Alianza Lima

Peru Primera Division, Descentralizado

Didn't like a single match from today's schedule, until some recent odds movement (unjustified, as far as I know) made this bet a value bet. Odds opened at around 2.00 for the home win, and now we have much better odds for the -0.25 handicap, so this bet is definitely worth a shot. Alianza is a mess at the moment, with lots of administrative and financial problems, so a lot of players have either already left the club, either are on the verge of leaving. At home they are still performing well, especially since last week they won the Super Clasico, 1-0 with Universitario, but there was a lot of motivation from the players in that match, and Universitario isn't in a much better state. Away from home, however, Alianza is a totally different team, losing all 3 matches played so far. Two of them were at high altitude (1-2 at Garcilaso and 0-3 at Melgar), and today as well the altitude should play a role. Inti Gas is traditionally a good home team, with a 2-1-1 record this year, including a win against Universitario. Also, Alianza managed to win on this stadium only last year, when they were in great form, and their record in Ayacucho is 1-1-3. Current odds worth a medium bet. GL!

Inti Gas (-0.25) @ 2.17, 3/10
Result: 3-0, WON

No comments:

Post a Comment