Copa Libertadores 2012, Round of 16
Deportivo's home record regarding conceded goals might put people off this bet, since the Ecuadorians are yet to concede a goal in Quito in the Copa Libertadores. However, this should change tonight, as they will play against a totally different team than what they experienced so far (Chivas played with several reserves, while Defensor and Velez are known for not being ultra-offensive teams). U de Chile come into this match in a great moment, as they have won their last 11 consecutive matches in all competitions, also scoring 31 goals in the process. They really enjoy playing offensive football, and when they attack, they usually do it with 5 or 6 men. Also, they can be deadly on counter attacks. Deportivo of course has the advantage here, mostly because of the high altitude from Quito, with which the Chileans aren't very accustomed, and they also like to play offensive football at home. Alustiza is placed second in the goalscorer standings, so for sure he'll be the man to watch tonight for Deportivo. U de Chile need to make a strong match, as they can't rely solely on the return leg (and if Deportivo wins tonight, they have already proved they know how to defend as well), so an away goal should be crucial. I expect both teams to score. GL!
over 2.25 goals @ 1.81, 4/10
Result: 4-1, WON
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