Ecuador Serie A, Primera Etapa
My first thought for this match was of course to skip it, but the recent odds movement is ridiculous, and under this circumstances I just can't stay away from this game. The asian lines opened with a -0.25 for Loja, with odds around 1.85-1.90, and now we can get an even better price for the DNB, so no matter the outcome, we have value here. And other than the names of the teams, I can't see any reason for the odds. Loja is a small team, but they have performing well this season (4th place currently, but with a win today they will be tied on points with the leaders), and they also have a nice game flow, pleasant to watch. No important absences for them, and even more, they welcome back defender Vera (13) after a suspension. Also, they are undefeated in the last 6 matches, in which they've beaten Emelec and made an away draw with LDU. Deportivo Quito is indeed a big name, but this season they have mostly struggled, especially since they also had a tough and tireing Libertadores campaign. They did win clearly their last match, 3-0 with El Nacional, but I still don't trust them enough. Also, they will miss today some important players: regular goalkeeper Elizaga and midfielders Olivo (11) and Alex Bolanos (9/1). Loja are a strong team, and they could surprise once again tonight. GL!
LDU Loja DNB @ 1.98, 3/10
Result: 1-0, WON
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