May 13, 2012

Liverpool - Rentistas

Uruguay Primera Division, Clausura

Can't really understand the odds here. Liverpool is the favorite, and justified, but the odds for the handicap seem to be much too high. Title chasers Liverpool had a recent slump, losing at home to Wanderers and drawing at Danubio, but recovered in style, winning at Penarol 1-0. So morale should be high for them, especially now that Nacional failed last night, and with a win today Liverpool would jump to at least second place (even 1st place if Defensor don't win their morning match). Also, they would be a step closer to securing a Sudamericana spot. And their home form of 4-0-1 should also be confirmed. Meanwhile, Rentistas are dead-last in both Clausura and the Relegation table, with no chances to save themselves, so they are basically fighting for nothing. They are yet to win a single match in this tournament, and as visitors they have only snatched a single point, scoring 3 goals and conceding 12. Another incentive for Liverpool should be the revenge factor, as in the Apertura they lost 0-3 at Rentistas. Handicap is high, but the odds are very good, and with a clear difference in quality, and also a different motivation, Liverpool should cover it. GL!

Liverpool (-1.5 AH) @ 2.23, 3/10
Result: 2-1, LOST

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