Copa Libertadores 2012, Round of 16
Kind of unexpected result last week in Colombia, with Velez winning 1-0. I knew it wouldn't be so easy for the home side, but this result came as a real surprise... also, I was expecting a lot more goals, but hopefully, they will make up for that tonight. Having lost at home, Atletico have only on choice left today: to attack and to win. Very offensive formation is expected, and we have seen the damage that the Colombians can do, even away from home (scored 4 goals to both Penarol and Godoy Cruz). And with the attacking, Velez surely won't just sit and wait. They are really strong when playing at home, and they know that this 1-0 is a dangerous result, so they'll try to look for a goal as well, especially since the Colombian defense isn't looking very solid lately. And they should also find plenty of spaces if Atletico comes to attack. The previous match had a lot of goal scoring chances, including a missed penalty by Velez, so if today we'll have the same scenario, this bet is looking good (with a bit more luck than last week, of course). GL!
over 2.5 goals @ 1.82, 4/10
Result: 1-1, LOST
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