Jun 13, 2012

Olimpia - Libertad

Paraguay Primera Division, Apertura

The Paraguayan league returns to action this mid-week, and a Clasico will for sure catch everyone's eyes. Olimpia and Libertad face each other in a match that could decide the title. Olimpia can take one more step towards the title if they win, while Libertad can get right back into the fight, and could also leave the door wide open for Cerro Porteno, who are 3 points behind the leaders. I did mention in several previous occasions that Olimpia kicked-out some players, due to indiscipline, and those players were quite key pieces in their formation: Marin, Orteman and Romero. And ever since that happened, they have suffered visibly in their last-gasp win over Rubio Nu and their draw with Nacional (they have only won 1 from their last 4 matches). Libertad is one of the most solid teams from Paraguay, and they aren't in a better position simply because Copa Libertadores took it's toll on their league performances. But now they should go back to normal, as they are in quite good form, as they proved last week when they won 2-1 at Nacional. Olimpia could struggle one more time, against a traditionally strong opponent (they have beaten Libertad only once in their last 10 official games), so this bet looks like a very good one. GL!

Libertad (+0.25 AH) @ 1.78, 3/10
Result: 2-1, LOST

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