Jul 7, 2012

Alianza Lima - FBC Melgar

Peru Primera Division, Descentralizado

Early bet here, as the odds will drop for sure, and I'll also be quite busy during the weekend. No line-ups are available yet, but probably both teams will use the best they have, and they should not be very different from their last matches. So that leaves us with form and overall quality: Alianza had a rough start to this season, with poor results and a state of financial insecurity. And even though some of their players have left the team, they still have a top-class squad, and they are more than capable of snapping out of their poor position in the table. And this can be visible from their recent form, as they are undefeated in their last 7 games, recording a morale boosting win against Cesar Vallejo, and snatching up points from tough travels at Jose Galvez, Leon, San Martin and Comercio. Also, they won 7 out of 10 matches at home, so it seems that their internal problems didn't affect them too much. Melgar might be on the 4th spot for the moment, but 90% of their merits are due to their home games, played at quite a high altitude (8-1-1 is their home form). When they travel, they are a totally different team, losing 6 games from 10, and making up points against poor teams like Cobresol or Sport Boys. They shouldn't pose too many problems to Alianza, and this should go as an easy home win. GL!

Alianza (-1 AH) @ 1.81, 4/10
Result: 0-0, LOST

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