Jul 14, 2012

Cobresol - Real Garcilaso

Peru Primera Division, Descentralizado

Newcomers Real Garcilaso are the new leaders of the Primera Division of Peru, a great achievement for them, and it will be very interesting to see if they manage to keep this position until the end of the season. But that will be a very hard task, especially since when playing away from home, they are a totally different team. As a comparison, we have their incredible 11-0-0 home record, against their 1-6-4 away record. Still solid, for Peruvian standards, as they only lost 4 games, but with just 1 win, it shows clearly that they are traveling defensive-minded, with a draw as their objective. Meanwhile, Cobresol are simply awful, sitting on the last place in the standings, after a run of 6 games without a win. I don't expect much improvements (especially since last round I went against them with a -1.25 handicap), and they are 90% relegated at the moment, but with Garcilaso's timid approach of their away games, Cobresol should be more than able to snatch a draw here. I would have preferred the +0.5 line, but since that's not available, the +0.25 should work as well, at some nice odds. GL!

Cobresol (+0.25 AH) @ 2.23, 3/10
Result: 1-1, HALF-WON

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