Jul 18, 2012

Real Garcilaso - Sport Boys

Peru Primera Division, Descentralizado

It should be getting more and more risky to bet on Garcilaso, as I'm very sure they won't keep their perfect home record throughout the season, and they are bound to fail eventually, but I also don't see that happening today. 11 games won at home from 11 played, with 21 goals scored and only 2 conceded... they should be going for the record here, and even though the high altitude from their home city of Cusco did a lot to help, we can't minimize their merits, so the 3rd place that they sit on currently is more than justified (after all, they only lost 4 matches from the 23 the played). Meanwhile, Sport Boys sits near the bottom of the table, and have lost 7 games as visitors, from 11 played. Only two of them were played at high altitude: a 2-1 victory of Huancayo (right at the beginning of the season, when Huancayo was still just a shadow of the last year), and a 0-2 loss at Leon. But Sport Boys, besides being traditionally poor travelers, are also extremely poor when it comes to playing at altitude. The handicap is high indeed, but with the recent odds movements, this bet is definitely worth taking. GL!

Garcilaso (-1.5 AH) @ 2.06, 3/10
Result: 1-1, LOST

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