Peru Primera Division, Descentralizado
Surprisingly enough, Garcilaso has so far not failed as they were expected. They are doing a good domestic campaign, and an incredible campaign in Libertadores, where they are topping the group with 7 points on their debut. I went against them several times before, and got burned almost every time, but the current odds are certainly an overreaction from the bookies. The only match where they shined was in the opening round against Huancayo, when they won 4-0. Other than that, I think it's fair to say that they were extremely lucky, especially in Libertadores, winning both matches with goals on counters in the closing minutes. Leon is used to playing at high altitude, and so far they've been looking solid (not very good, but solid enough). They are closing well the spaces, and since Garcilaso isn't too efficient in offense, this should be a closed-affair. It's just crazy to give a +1 handicap in such a match, especially since there won't be an altitude advantage. GL!
Leon (+1 AH) @ 2.14, 3/10
Result: 0-0, WON
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